Purdue vs. Illinois State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 9

The Purdue Boilermakers (0-2) host the Illinois State Redbirds (1-1) at Mackey Arena, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 9, 2026. The Redbirds are 15.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 144.5.

In its most recent game on Friday, Purdue suffered an 83-80 OT loss to Valparaiso. Daniel Jacobsen's team-leading 28 points paced Purdue in the losing effort. Illinois State enters this matchup after a 100-55 win against Central State (OH) on Thursday. In Illinois State's win, Nick Allen led the way with 18 points (adding one rebound and one assist).

Purdue vs. Illinois State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Purdue -15.5
• Moneyline favorite: Purdue -2174
• Moneyline underdog: Illinois State +1063
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch Purdue vs. Illinois State

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Purdue vs. Illinois State

• Purdue played 25 games with over 144.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, last season.
• Last season, 15 of Illinois State's 31 games had a combined total higher than 144.5 points scored.
• These two teams averaged a combined 156.3 points per game a season ago, 11.8 more points than the over/under of 144.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 5.5 fewer points per game (139) last season than this game's over/under of 144.5 points.
• The average point total in Purdue's games last year was 7.7 more points than the total of 144.5 in this matchup.
• The average total for Illinois State's games in 2025 was 1.3 fewer points than the point total of 144.5 for this game.

Betting the Spread: Purdue vs. Illinois State

• Purdue put together a 17-22-0 ATS record last year.
• The Boilermakers were favored by 15.5 points or more 11 times last season, and covered the spread in five of those matchups.
• Illinois State won 17 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover 14 times.
• The Redbirds did not cover the spread when an underdog by 15.5 points or more last season (in one opportunity).
• Purdue was 5-12 against the spread, and 12-5 overall, at home last year.
• At home last season, Purdue was 4-6 ATS as a 15.5-point favorite or more.
• Illinois State was 5-7 overall, and 4-8 against the spread, away from home last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Purdue vs. Illinois State

• Purdue put together a 26-7 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 78.8% of those games).
• The Boilermakers won all nine games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -2174 or shorter.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, Purdue has an implied win probability of 95.6%.
• Illinois State won four, or 36.4%, of the 11 games it played as underdogs last season.
• The Redbirds were not a bigger underdog last season than the +1063 moneyline set for this game.
• The implied probability of a win by Illinois State, based on the moneyline, is 8.6%.