Providence vs. Butler Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big East Tournament

The No. 9 seed Providence Friars (14-17, 7-13 Big East) are 1.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 8 seed Butler Bulldogs (16-15, 7-13 Big East) in the Big East Tournament Wednesday at Madison Square Garden, beginning at 4 p.m. ET on Peacock. The matchup's over/under is 163.5.

Last time out, Providence lost 80-79 to Georgetown on Saturday. In Providence's loss, Jaylin Sellers led the way with a team-high 21 points (adding five rebounds and three assists). Butler won its most recent game 81-71 against DePaul on Saturday. In Butler's win, Finley Bizjack led the team with 19 points (adding four rebounds and one assist).

Providence vs. Butler Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• Spread favorite: Providence -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Providence -119
• Moneyline underdog: Butler +100
• Over/Under: 163.5 points

How to watch Providence vs. Butler

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Providence vs. Butler

• Providence and its opponents have combined to go over Wednesday's total of 163.5 points 18 times this season.
• Nine of Butler's games have finished with a combined score over 163.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the matchup of 163.5 is 1.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Friars (85.5) and Bulldogs (79.3).
• These two teams surrender a combined 161.2 points per game, 2.3 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Providence has had a 169.6-point over/under in its games this season, 6.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 7.1 points separates this matchup's over/under (163.5 points) and the average over/under in Butler's games (156.4) this season.

Betting the Spread: Providence vs. Butler

• Providence is 17-14-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Friars have an against-the-spread record of 8-7 in their 15 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• In Butler's 31 games this season, it has 17 wins against the spread.
• The Bulldogs have an ATS record of 8-6 in their 14 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more this season.
• Butler is 10-7 overall, and 9-8 against the spread, at home.
• This season, as a 1.5-point underdog or greater at home, Butler is 8-6 ATS.
• This year in away games, Providence is 7-4 against the spread and 3-8 overall.
• Providence is winless ATS (0-1) as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Providence vs. Butler

• Providence has entered the game as moneyline favorites 15 times this season and won 10, or 66.7%, of those games.
• The Friars have a record of 10-4 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -119 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Providence, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
• Butler has been victorious in four, or 28.6%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Bulldogs have been victorious four times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
• Butler has an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.