Pirates vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 11

Griffin Conine leads the Miami Marlins into a matchup versus the Pittsburgh Pirates, after his two-homer outing in a 12-3 victory over the Angels, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Paul Skenes (9-10, 3.96 ERA) gets the start for the Pirates, who are 58-62 this season and fourth in the NL Central. Eury Perez (5-9, 3.61 ERA) is expected to start for the Marlins, who are 60-59 and third in the NL East.

Despite being on the road the Pirates are a moderate moneyline favorite (-115) over the Marlins (+102). The contest has a total set at 7.

Pirates vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
• Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park
• Favorite: Pirates (-115)
• Underdog: Marlins (+102)
• Over/under: 7

How to Watch Pirates vs. Marlins

• TV Channel: MIAM and SportsNet PT
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Pirates vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

• The Pirates have been favored on the moneyline 65 total times this season. They've finished 36-29 in those games.
• Miami has been pegged as an underdog in 63 games this year and has walked away with the win 24 times (38.1%) in those games.
• Pittsburgh is 34-29 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
• This year, the Marlins have won 19 of 50 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Pirates have an implied win probability of 53.5%.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Pirates vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Pirates have played in 120 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-50-4).
• Miami's games have gone over the total in 58 of its 119 chances.
• The Pirates have gone 58-62-0 ATS this season.
• The Marlins are 59-60-0 against the spread in their 119 games that had a posted line this season.