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Pirates vs. Reds Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 3

03 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 2-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday at PNC Park, at 1:35 p.m. ET. Braxton Ashcraft (1-2, 3.71 ERA) gets the start for the Pirates, who are 18-16 this season and fifth in the NL Central. Chase Burns (3-1, 2.65 ERA) is expected to start for the Reds, who are 20-13 and second in the NL Central.

With the Reds (+101) visiting, the Pirates (-120) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game has an over/under of 7.5 runs.

Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Game time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: PNC Park
  • Favorite: Pirates (-120)
  • Underdog: Reds (+101)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Pirates vs. Reds

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Pirates vs. Reds: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Pirates have gone 13-8 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 61.9% of those games).
  • Cincinnati has been underdogs in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 14 times (60.9%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 9-8, a 52.9% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • This season, the Reds have come away with a win 10 times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Pirates a 54.5% chance to win.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Pirates vs. Reds: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Pirates have played in 34 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-14-0).
  • Games involving Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 21 of 33 chances this season.
  • The Pirates are 19-15-0 ATS this season.
  • In 33 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 20-13-0 against the spread.
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