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Phillies vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 25

25 September 2026 By Data Skrive

A pair of MLB's best hitters will square off when the Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays meet on Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET, at Citizens Bank Park. Luis Arraez has a .310 batting average (second in league) for the Phillies, and Chandler Simpson ranks third, batting .308 for the Rays. Cristopher Sanchez (18-6, 2.93 ERA) will start for the Phillies, who are 87-72 this season and second in the NL East. Freddy Peralta (9-11, 4.56 ERA) is starting for the Rays, who are 96-63 and first in the AL East.

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Phillies (-177) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Rays (+144) at home. The over/under for the Phillies-Rays game is 6.5.

Phillies vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, September 25, 2026
  • Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park
  • Favorite: Phillies (-177)
  • Underdog: Rays (+144)
  • Over/under: 6.5

How to Watch Phillies vs. Rays

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Phillies vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Phillies have won 63% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (75-44).
  • Tampa Bay has won in 26, or 50%, of the 52 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 30-9 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -177 on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have been listed as an underdog of +144 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The Phillies have a 63.9% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 41% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Phillies have had an over/under set by bookmakers 159 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 74 of those games (74-77-8).
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of its 159 games with a total this season.
  • The Phillies have a 68-91-0 record ATS this season (covering 42.8% of the time).
  • The Rays have posted a record of 83-76-0 against the spread this season.
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