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Phillies vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 3

03 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins host the Philadelphia Phillies at 1:40 p.m. ET on Sunday. Jesus Luzardo (2-3, 5.50 ERA) will start for the Phillies, who are 13-20 this season and fourth in the NL East. Chris Paddack (0-4, 6.11 ERA) is starting for the Marlins, who are 16-17 and second in the NL East.

Despite playing on the road, the Phillies are still a decent moneyline favorite (-143) over the Marlins (+121). The total for the Phillies-Marlins game is set at 8.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Game time: 1:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Phillies (-143)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+121)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Phillies vs. Marlins

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Phillies vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Phillies have been the moneyline favorite 24 total times this season. They've gone 12-12 in those games.
  • Miami has won in four, or 26.7%, of the 15 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Philadelphia has entered 15 games this season favored by -143 or more and is 9-6 in those contests.
  • The Marlins have a win-loss record of 4-6 when favored by +121 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Phillies have an implied win probability of 58.8%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Phillies have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 16 times this season for a 16-15-2 record against the over/under.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of its 33 opportunities.
  • The Phillies have covered only 18.2% of their games this season, going 6-27-0 against the spread.
  • The Marlins have posted a record of 16-17-0 against the spread this season.
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