Panthers vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 15
15 November 2025

The Florida Panthers (9-7-1) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (8-6-2) on Saturday, Nov. 15, with the Panthers coming off a victory and the Lightning a loss. The Lightning are underdogs on the road, at +114, and the Panthers are -135.
Florida won 6-3 at home its last time out on Nov. 13 against the Washington Capitals. Three Panthers skaters had three points each, including Sam Reinhart (two goals and one assist) and Eetu Luostarinen (one goal and two assists).
Tampa Bay played at home its last time out on Nov. 12, and lost 7-3 against the New York Rangers. Curtis Douglas (one assist) and Janis Moser (one assist) were among the eight Lightning players who recorded one point each in that matchup.
Here is our prediction for who will capture the win in Saturday's game.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick
For insights on the upcoming game between the Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Panthers 5 - Lightning 2
- Pick OU:
Over 5.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.05 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Panthers vs. Lightning Moneylines
Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Panthers-Lightning matchup.
- Favorite: Panthers (-135)
- Underdog: Lightning (+114)
Panthers Betting Insights
- The Panthers have been victorious in six of their 13 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (46.2%).
- Florida is 5-7 when playing with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter (41.7% win percentage).
- Based on the moneyline in this game, the Panthers' implied win probability is 57.4%.
- In eight games this season, Florida and its opponent have combined for more than 5.5 goals.
Lightning Betting Insights
- This season the Lightning have been an underdog five times, and won two of those games.
- Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +114 or more one time this season and lost that game.
- The moneyline set in this contest implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Lightning.
- Tampa Bay has combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in eight of 16 games this season.
Panthers Key Stats
- Florida ranks 26th in the league with 48 goals scored (2.8 per game).
- Defensively, the Panthers are allowing 50 total goals (2.9 per game) to rank 12th in NHL play.
- It has the league's 19th-ranked goal differential at -2.
- The 13 power-play goals the Panthers have recorded this season are eighth-best in the NHL (on 65 power-play chances).
- Florida's 20% power-play conversion rate ranks 16th in the league.
- The two shorthanded goals the Panthers have scored this season rank seventh among NHL teams.
- Florida kills 77.97% of opponent power plays, the 21st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Florida wins 47.8% of its faceoffs to rank 22nd in the NHL.
- The Panthers shoot 10% as a team (24th in the league).
Lightning Key Stats
- With 49 goals (3.1 per game), Tampa Bay has the league's 24th-ranked offense.
- The Lightning's total of 48 goals conceded (three per game) is ninth in the league.
- it has the 14th-ranked goal differential in the league at +1.
- The Lightning have eight power-play goals (26th in NHL) on 53 chances.
- Tampa Bay's power-play percentage (15.09) ranks the team 28th in the league.
- The Lightning have one shorthanded goal (14th in NHL).
- Tampa Bay's has the third-best penalty-kill percentage (88.24%).
- At 44.6%, Tampa Bay has the NHL's 30th-ranked faceoff win rate.
- The Lightning's 11.5% shooting percentage is 13th in the league.
