Thunder vs. Spurs Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 25

The Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (26-4) will look to hold off their closest rival in that conference, the San Antonio Spurs (22-7), on December 25, 2025 on ABC and ESPN.

The Thunder are currently solid 9.5-point favorites against the Spurs. The over/under is 234.5 points for the game.

Thunder vs. Spurs Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, December 25, 2025
• Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Arena: Paycom Center
• Total: 234.5 points
• Spread: Thunder -9.5
• Moneyline: Thunder (-391), Spurs (+310)

How to watch Thunder vs. Spurs

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Thunder vs. Spurs

• Thunder games this season have gone over this contest's total of 234.5 points 12 times.
• Spurs games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 234.5 points in 14 of 29 outings.
• The teams combine to score 242.3 points per game, 7.8 more points than this matchup's total.
• These teams give up 220.6 points per game combined, 13.9 points fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Thunder vs. Spurs

• Oklahoma City has put together a 16-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Thunder have covered the spread 12 times this season (12-8 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
• The Spurs are 15-11-3 ATS this year.
• San Antonio has covered the spread when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs in its only opportunity this season.
• The Thunder are 9-6 against the spread, and 14-1 overall, at home.
• At home, Oklahoma City is 7-5 ATS as a 9.5-point favorite or greater.
• The Spurs are 7-8-1 against the spread, and 11-5 overall, on the road.
• San Antonio is winless ATS (0-1) as 9.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Thunder vs. Spurs

• The Thunder have won 26 of the 30 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (86.7%).
• The Spurs have been underdogs in 11 games this season and won eight (72.7%) of those contests.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -391 or shorter, Oklahoma City has gone 18-1 (94.7% win percentage).
• San Antonio has played as an underdog of +310 or more once this season and won that game.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Thunder have an implied win probability of 79.6%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Thunder vs. Spurs

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (234.5)
  
• Prediction: Thunder 127 - Spurs 114
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!