Thunder vs. Warriors Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 2

Two of the NBA's top scorers -- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second, 32.1 points per game) and Stephen Curry (ninth, 28.7) -- hit the court when the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) visit the Golden State Warriors (18-16) on January 2, 2026 on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK.

Oklahoma City is a strong 9-point favorite against Golden State when the Thunder take the court against the Warriors on Friday. The over/under for the game is 228.5.

Thunder vs. Warriors Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Friday, January 2, 2026
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Arena: Chase Center
• Total: 228.5 points
• Spread: Thunder -9
• Moneyline: Thunder (-375), Warriors (+300)

How to watch Thunder vs. Warriors

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Thunder vs. Warriors

• In 17 games this season, the Thunder and their opponents have scored more than 228.5 total points.
• The Warriors have played 18 games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 228.5 points.
• These teams average 237.7 points per game between them, 9.2 more than this game's point total.
• Opponents of these teams score 220.9 points per game combined, 7.6 fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Thunder vs. Warriors

• Oklahoma City has put together an 18-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• When playing as at least 9-point favorites this season, the Thunder have an ATS record of 15-11.
• The Warriors have covered 15 times in 34 games with a spread this year.
• Golden State has been an underdog by 9 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• At home this year, the Warriors are 10-4 overall and 7-6-1 against the spread.
• Golden State has two wins ATS (2-2-1) as a 9-point underdog or more at home.
• On the road, the Thunder are 12-3 overall and 7-8 against the spread.
• As 9-point favorites or more on the road, Oklahoma City is 6-4 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Thunder vs. Warriors

• The Thunder have gone 29-5 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 85.3% of those games).
• The Warriors have won four of the 10 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -375 or shorter, Oklahoma City has gone 21-2 (91.3% win percentage).
• Golden State has not won as an underdog of +300 or more on the moneyline this season in three games with those odds or longer.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Thunder's implied win probability is 78.9%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Thunder vs. Warriors

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 9)
• Pick OU: Over (228.5)
  
• Prediction: Thunder 126 - Warriors 109
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!