Thunder vs. Nuggets Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 9

The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-15) will attempt to continue a five-game winning run when hosting the Denver Nuggets (39-25) on March 9, 2026 at Paycom Center.

The Thunder square off with the Nuggets in a game that Oklahoma City is currently a favorite by 6 points. The point total for the game is set at 232.5.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Monday, March 9, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Arena: Paycom Center
• Total: 232.5 points
• Spread: Thunder -6
• Moneyline: Thunder (-255), Nuggets (+210)

How to watch Thunder vs. Nuggets

• TV Channel: Peacock

Betting the Over/Under: Thunder vs. Nuggets

• The Thunder's 65 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 232.5 points 26 times.
• The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to score more than 232.5 points in 40 of 64 games this season.
• These two teams score 238.8 points per game combined, 6.3 more than this game's point total.
• Opponents of these two teams score 224.1 points per game combined, 8.4 fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Thunder vs. Nuggets

• Oklahoma City has covered 31 times in 65 chances against the spread this season.
• The Thunder have covered the spread 27 times this season (27-29 ATS) when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
• The Nuggets have compiled a 35-29-0 ATS record so far this year.
• When playing as at least 6-point underdogs this season, Denver has an ATS record of 7-1.
• The Thunder are 26-7 overall, and 15-18 against the spread, at home.
• This year, as a 6-point favorite or greater at home, Oklahoma City is 14-17 ATS.
• The Nuggets are 21-13 against the spread, and 22-12 overall, on the road.
• As 6-point underdogs or more on the road, Denver is 7-5 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Thunder vs. Nuggets

• The Thunder have won 78.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (48-13).
• This season, the Nuggets have been the underdog 22 times and won 10, or 45.5%, of those games.
• In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -255 or shorter, Oklahoma City has a record of 41-9 (82% win percentage).
• This season, Denver has won three of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +210 on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Thunder's implied win probability is 71.8%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Thunder vs. Nuggets

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 6)
• Pick OU: Under (232.5)
  
• Prediction: Thunder 115 - Nuggets 99
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!