Notre Dame vs. Mercyhurst Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 5
05 November 2026

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-0) host the Mercyhurst Lakers (0-1) at Purcell Pavilion, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 5, 2026. The Fighting Irish are 20.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under in the matchup is set at 142.5.
Last time out, Notre Dame won on Sunday 74-72 against Villanova. Brady Koehler scored a team-best 16 points for Notre Dame in the win. Mercyhurst lost its last game 78-43 against Marquette on Monday. Jake Lemelman's team-leading 16 points paced Mercyhurst in the losing effort.
Notre Dame vs. Mercyhurst Odds and Game Time
- When: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, Indiana
- Spread favorite: Notre Dame -20.5
- Moneyline favorite: Notre Dame -5882
- Moneyline underdog: Mercyhurst +1750
- Over/Under: 142.5 points
How to watch Notre Dame vs. Mercyhurst
- TV Channel: ACC Network Extra
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Notre Dame vs. Mercyhurst
- Notre Dame's games finished over 142.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 19 times (out of 31) last year.
- A total of 12 Mercyhurst's games last season (out of 32) had more than 142.5 total points scored.
- The two teams averaged a combined 1.3 more points per game (143.8) a season ago than this matchup's total of 142.5 points.
- Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 142.7 points per game last season, 0.2 more than the point total for this matchup.
- The average total Notre Dame had set in matchups last year was 7.3 more points than this outing's point total.
- The average point total for Mercyhurst in 2025 was 5.8 points fewer than this game's over/under.
Betting the Spread: Notre Dame vs. Mercyhurst
- Notre Dame covered 15 times in 31 matchups with a spread last season.
- The Fighting Irish covered the spread once when favored by 20.5 points or more last season (in three opportunities).
- Mercyhurst went 21-11-0 ATS last season.
- The Lakers had an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 20.5-point underdogs last year.
- Notre Dame was 8-9 against the spread, and 10-7 overall, at home last year.
- Notre Dame had one win ATS (1-2) as a 20.5-point favorite or more at home last year.
- Mercyhurst was 5-13 overall, and 12-7 against the spread, in away games last season.
Betting the Moneyline: Notre Dame vs. Mercyhurst
- Notre Dame won 75% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (9-3).
- The Fighting Irish played as a moneyline favorite of -5882 or shorter in just two games last season, and they won both.
- Notre Dame has a 98.3% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
- Mercyhurst was underdogs in 15 games last season and won three (20%) of those contests.
- The Lakers were 1-3 last season when entering a game as an underdog by +1750 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by Mercyhurst, based on the moneyline, is 5.4%.
