Northwestern vs. Penn State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big Ten Tournament

The No. 15 seed Northwestern Wildcats (13-18, 5-15 Big Ten) are favored by 6 points in their Big Ten Tournament matchup against the No. 18 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (12-19, 3-17 Big Ten) on Tuesday at United Center, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on Peacock. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under for the matchup is set at 144.

Northwestern fell in its most recent matchup 67-66 against Minnesota on Saturday. In the loss, Nick Martinelli paced Northwestern with 23 points. Penn State's last game on Sunday ended in a 74-62 loss to Rutgers. Penn State got a team-best 16 points from Ivan Juric in the loss.

Northwestern vs. Penn State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Northwestern -6
• Moneyline favorite: Northwestern -254
• Moneyline underdog: Penn State +201
• Over/Under: 144 points

How to watch Northwestern vs. Penn State

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Northwestern vs. Penn State

• Northwestern and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (144 points) 16 times this season.
• In Penn State's 31 games this season, 23 finished with more combined points than Tuesday's over/under of 144.
• The point total for the matchup of 144 is 3.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wildcats (73.2 points per game) and the Nittany Lions (73.9 points per game).
• This game's point total is 7.7 fewer points than the 151.7 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, Northwestern has seen a 145.4-point over/under in its games this season, 1.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 9.4 points separates the average over/under in Penn State's games (153.4 points) and this contest's over/under (144).

Betting the Spread: Northwestern vs. Penn State

• Against the spread, Northwestern is 13-18-0 this year.
• The Wildcats have been favored by 6 points or more eight times this season and are 4-4 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, Penn State is 12-19-0 this year.
• The Nittany Lions are 7-6 ATS when underdogs by 6 points or more this season.
• At home this season, Northwestern is 6-10 against the spread and 9-7 overall.
• At home, Northwestern is 4-4 ATS as a 6-point favorite or more.
• Away from home, Penn State is 4-7 against the spread, and 2-9 overall.
• Penn State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 6-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Northwestern vs. Penn State

• This season, Northwestern has been moneyline favorites 16 times and won 11, or 68.8%, of those games.
• The Wildcats have entered eight games this season favored by -254 or more, and won each of those games.
• Northwestern has a 71.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Penn State has come away with three wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Nittany Lions have come away with a win two times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +201 or longer on the moneyline.
• Penn State has an implied victory probability of 33.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.