Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Horizon League Tournament

The No. 7 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (20-13, 10-10 Horizon League) are favored by 1.5 points in the Horizon League Tournament over the No. 1 seed Wright State Raiders (21-11, 15-5 Horizon League). The teams will hit the court Monday at 7 p.m. ET live on ESPNU, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's over/under is set at 158.5.

In its most recent outing on Sunday, Northern Kentucky secured a 96-76 victory over Green Bay. In Northern Kentucky's win, LJ Wells led the way with a team-high 26 points (adding nine rebounds and four assists). In its last matchup on Wednesday, Wright State claimed a 90-61 victory against Cleveland State. Kellen Pickett totaled 18 points, six rebounds and two assists for Wright State.

Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 9, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Corteva Coliseum in Indianapolis, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Northern Kentucky -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Northern Kentucky -131
• Moneyline underdog: Wright State +107
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State

• This season, Northern Kentucky's games have hit the over on this matchup's 158.5-point over/under 14 times.
• This season, 10 games Wright State has played finished with a combined score higher than 158.5 points.
• The over/under for the contest of 158.5 is 4.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Norse (82.9) and Raiders (80.5).
• The 150 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 8.5 fewer than the 158.5 total in this contest.
• Northern Kentucky has seen a 159.6 average over/under in its games this season, 1.1 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 4.7 points higher than the average over/under in Wright State's games this season of 153.8.

Betting the Spread: Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State

• Northern Kentucky has played 30 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• The Norse have been favored by 1.5 points or more 20 times this season and are 9-11 ATS in those games.
• Wright State is 19-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The Raiders have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more nine times this season and are 7-2 ATS in those matchups.
• Wright State is 7-7 against the spread, and 8-5 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Wright State is 6-6 ATS as a 1.5-point underdog or greater.
• Northern Kentucky is 5-10 against the spread, and 6-8 overall, in away games.
• Northern Kentucky has one win ATS (1-4) as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State

• Northern Kentucky has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and won 13 (65%) of those contests.
• The Norse have a record of 13-7 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -131 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Northern Kentucky has a 56.7% chance to win.
• Wright State has been a moneyline underdog in nine games this season and has come away with the win three times (33.3%) in those contests.
• This year, the Raiders have won three of eight games when listed as at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Wright State has a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.