North Texas vs. South Alabama Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Sept. 27

The North Texas Mean Green (4-0), who have college football's 11th-ranked pass defense, square off against the South Alabama Jaguars (1-3) and their 17th-ranked passing defense on Saturday, September 27, 2025. The Mean Green are heavy, 12.5-point favorites.

Facing the Army Black Knights in their most recent game, the Mean Green won 45-38.

The Jaguars lost to the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 38-20, in their last contest.

North Texas vs. South Alabama Predictions

Ahead of the upcoming game between the North Texas Mean Green and South Alabama Jaguars, computer-derived against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Mean Green (- 12.5)
• Pick OU: Under (63.5)
  
• Prediction: Mean Green 41 - Jaguars 20

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North Texas vs. South Alabama Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Mean Green-Jaguars matchup.

• North Texas Moneyline: -485
• South Alabama Moneyline: +362

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North Texas Betting Insights

• North Texas has been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of four times this season, and it has won all of those games.
• North Texas has played as a moneyline favorite of -485 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
• The Mean Green and their opponents have combined to score more than 63.5 points twice this season (over four games).
• Mean Green games this season have had an average of 57.0 points, 6.5 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• The Jaguars are college football's 79th-highest scoring team this season compared to the seventh-ranked Mean Green.

South Alabama Betting Insights

• South Alabama has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
• This season, South Alabama has been at least a +362 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.
• South Alabama has played just one game this season that finished with a combined score over 63.5 points.
• South Alabama has had an average of 52.8 points scored in their games so far this season, 10.7 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Watch North Texas vs. South Alabama on Fubo.

Key Stats for North Texas vs. South Alabama

• The Mean Green are totaling 439 yards per game offensively this season (42nd in the FBS), and they are giving up 296.3 yards per game (37th) on the defensive side of the ball.
• North Texas ranks 47th in scoring defense this year (19.5 points allowed per game), but has been thriving on offense, ranking ninth-best in the FBS with 47 points per game.
• The Jaguars are accumulating 379.5 total yards per contest on offense this season (80th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 344.3 total yards per game (60th-ranked).
• South Alabama ranks 85th in points per game (26), but it has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-worst in the FBS with 30.8 points allowed per contest.