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North Carolina vs. Navy Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 18

18 November 2025 By Data Skrive

The No. 18 North Carolina Tar Heels (4-0) host the Navy Midshipmen (2-2) at Dean E. Smith Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 18, 2025. The Midshipmen are 23.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points.

In its most recent outing on Friday, North Carolina claimed a 97-53 victory over North Carolina Central. Caleb Wilson scored a team-leading 21 points for North Carolina in the win. Navy's last outing on Friday ended in a 97-64 victory over Washington (MD). Aidan Kehoe's team-leading 20 points paced Navy in the win.

North Carolina vs. Navy Odds and Game Time

  • When: Tuesday, November 18, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Spread favorite: North Carolina -23.5
  • Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -10000
  • Moneyline underdog: Navy +2400
  • Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch North Carolina vs. Navy

Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. Navy

  • Last season, North Carolina's games went over 159.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 15 (out of 37) times.
  • Six of Navy's 32 games last season went over 159.5 total points scored.
  • The Tar Heels and the Midshipmen combined to average 8.0 fewer points per game a season ago than the over/under of 159.5 set for this game.
  • The Tar Heels and the Midshipmen saw their opponents average a combined 14.4 fewer points per game last season than the point total of 159.5 set for this outing.
  • The average total North Carolina had set in games last year was 4.1 fewer points than this outing's point total.
  • The average total for Navy's games in 2024 was 18.3 fewer points than the point total of 159.5 for this game.
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Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. Navy

  • North Carolina won 16 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 21 times.
  • The Tar Heels covered the spread once last season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 23.5-point favorites.
  • Navy won 16 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 16 times.
  • North Carolina was 7-8 against the spread, and 12-3 overall, at home last year.
  • At home last season, as a 23.5-point favorite or greater, North Carolina had one win ATS (1-2).
  • Away from home last season, Navy was 11-6 against the spread and 4-11 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. Navy

  • North Carolina finished 22-5 in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 81.5% of those games).
  • The Tar Heels played as a moneyline favorite of -10000 or shorter in just two games last season, and they won both.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, North Carolina's implied win probability is 99.0%.
  • Navy won six, or 30%, of the 20 games it played as underdogs last season.
  • The Midshipmen were not a bigger underdog last season than the +2400 moneyline set for this game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Navy has a 4.0% chance to win.

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