North Carolina vs. Navy Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 18
18 November 2025

The No. 18 North Carolina Tar Heels (4-0) host the Navy Midshipmen (2-2) at Dean E. Smith Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 18, 2025. The Midshipmen are 23.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points.
In its most recent outing on Friday, North Carolina claimed a 97-53 victory over North Carolina Central. Caleb Wilson scored a team-leading 21 points for North Carolina in the win. Navy's last outing on Friday ended in a 97-64 victory over Washington (MD). Aidan Kehoe's team-leading 20 points paced Navy in the win.
North Carolina vs. Navy Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, November 18, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
- Spread favorite: North Carolina -23.5
- Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -10000
- Moneyline underdog: Navy +2400
- Over/Under: 159.5 points
How to watch North Carolina vs. Navy
- TV Channel: ACC Network
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. Navy
- Last season, North Carolina's games went over 159.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 15 (out of 37) times.
- Six of Navy's 32 games last season went over 159.5 total points scored.
- The Tar Heels and the Midshipmen combined to average 8.0 fewer points per game a season ago than the over/under of 159.5 set for this game.
- The Tar Heels and the Midshipmen saw their opponents average a combined 14.4 fewer points per game last season than the point total of 159.5 set for this outing.
- The average total North Carolina had set in games last year was 4.1 fewer points than this outing's point total.
- The average total for Navy's games in 2024 was 18.3 fewer points than the point total of 159.5 for this game.
Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. Navy
- North Carolina won 16 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 21 times.
- The Tar Heels covered the spread once last season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 23.5-point favorites.
- Navy won 16 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 16 times.
- North Carolina was 7-8 against the spread, and 12-3 overall, at home last year.
- At home last season, as a 23.5-point favorite or greater, North Carolina had one win ATS (1-2).
- Away from home last season, Navy was 11-6 against the spread and 4-11 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. Navy
- North Carolina finished 22-5 in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 81.5% of those games).
- The Tar Heels played as a moneyline favorite of -10000 or shorter in just two games last season, and they won both.
- Based on this game's moneyline, North Carolina's implied win probability is 99.0%.
- Navy won six, or 30%, of the 20 games it played as underdogs last season.
- The Midshipmen were not a bigger underdog last season than the +2400 moneyline set for this game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Navy has a 4.0% chance to win.
