Nicholls State vs. Northwestern State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Southland Tournament

The No. 6 seed Nicholls State Colonels (13-18, 12-10 Southland) are favored by 1.5 points in the Southland Tournament over the No. 7 seed Northwestern State Demons (10-21, 8-14 Southland). The teams will hit the court Sunday at 8:30 p.m. ET live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's point total is set at 139.5.

Nicholls State enters this contest after a 75-65 loss to McNeese on Monday. In Nicholls State's loss, Trae English led the way with a team-high 20 points (adding four rebounds and two assists). Northwestern State heads into this matchup after a 74-62 loss to UT Rio Grande Valley on Monday. Northwestern State got a team-high 18 points from Willie Williams in the loss.

Nicholls State vs. Northwestern State Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: Nicholls State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Nicholls State -137
• Moneyline underdog: Northwestern State +115
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Nicholls State vs. Northwestern State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Nicholls State vs. Northwestern State

• A total of 22 of Nicholls State's games this season have gone over Sunday's over/under of 139.5 points.
• This season, 14 games Northwestern State has played finished with a combined score higher than 139.5 points.
• The Colonels average 72.9 points per game against the Demons' 69.0, totaling 2.4 points over the game's total of 139.5.
• This matchup's point total is 8.7 less than the 148.2 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• On average, Nicholls State has had a 148.3-point over/under in its games this season, 8.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 2.2 points separates the average over/under in Northwestern State's games (141.7 points) and this contest's over/under (139.5).

Betting the Spread: Nicholls State vs. Northwestern State

• Nicholls State has played 30 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Colonels have an ATS record of 4-5 in their nine games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Northwestern State is 17-12-0 against the spread this season.
• So far this season, the Demons have been installed as underdogs by a 1.5-point margin or more 26 times and are 15-11 ATS in those games.
• Nicholls State is 5-6 against the spread, and 5-6 overall, at home this season.
• Nicholls State is 3-4 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Northwestern State is 9-8 against the spread, and 2-15 overall, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Nicholls State vs. Northwestern State

• This season, Nicholls State has been moneyline favorites nine times and won five of those games.
• The Colonels have a record of 4-3 when favored by -137 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for Nicholls State.
• Northwestern State has won in five, or 20%, of the 25 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This year, the Demons have won five of 23 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Northwestern State has a 46.5% chance of walking away with the win.