Patriots vs. Steelers Week 2 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The New England Patriots (0-1) are favored by 4.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) on September 20, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 41.5 points.

The Patriots ranked eighth in total defense last season (295.2 yards allowed per game), but they thrived on offense, ranking third-best in the NFL with 379.4 total yards per game. The Steelers put up 23.4 points per game on offense last season, which ranked them 15th in the NFL. On defense, they ranked 17th, giving up 22.8 points per game.

Patriots vs. Steelers Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Total: 41.5 points
• Spread: Patriots -4.5
• Moneyline: Patriots (-218), Steelers (+180)

How to watch Patriots vs. Steelers

• TV Channel: CBS

Betting the Over/Under: Patriots vs. Steelers

• The Patriots' 17 games last season went over this contest's total of 41.5 points 14 times.
• A total of 11 of the Patriots' games last season hit the over.
• The Steelers and their opponents combined to score more than 41.5 points in 12 of 17 games last season.
• Last season, 10 Pittsburgh games went over the point total.
• The teams combined to score 52.2 points per game last season, 10.7 more points than the total for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams put up 41.6 combined points per game last year, 0.1 more than the total for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Patriots vs. Steelers

• New England covered 11 times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
• New England covered the spread six times last season (6-3 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• The Steelers compiled a 9-8-0 ATS record last year.
• Pittsburgh won each of their three games last season when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
• The Patriots were 4-5 against the spread, and 6-3 overall, at home last year.
• Last season, as 4.5-point favorites or more at home, New England was 4-2 ATS.
• In away games last season, the Steelers were 4-4 overall and 3-5 against the spread.
• Pittsburgh was unbeaten ATS (2-0) as 4.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Patriots vs. Steelers

• New England finished 10-1 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 90.9% of those games).
• The Steelers were underdogs nine times last season and won five of those games.
• New England won all nine games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -218 or shorter.
• Pittsburgh entered two games last season as the underdog by +180 or more and won each of those games.
• The Patriots have a 68.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Patriots vs. Steelers

For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.