Nevada vs. Air Force Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 7
07 March 2026

The Nevada Wolf Pack (19-11, 11-8 MWC) face the Air Force Falcons (3-27, 0-19 MWC) on March 7, 2026 at Lawlor Events Center. The Falcons are underdogs by a 25.5-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of two in a row with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 145.5.
Nevada is coming off of an 83-73 loss to Wyoming in its most recent game on Tuesday. Elijah Price's team-leading 20 points paced Nevada in the losing effort. Air Force fell in its most recent matchup 86-60 against Grand Canyon on Tuesday. Kam Sanders scored a team-leading 18 points for Air Force in the loss.
Nevada vs. Air Force Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Lawlor Events Center in Reno, Nevada
- Spread favorite: Nevada -25.5
- Moneyline favorite: Nevada -50000
- Moneyline underdog: Air Force +3500
- Over/Under: 145.5 points
How to watch Nevada vs. Air Force
- TV Channel: MW Network
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Nevada vs. Air Force
- A total of 18 of Nevada's games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 145.5 points.
- There have been 11 Air Force games that finished with a combined score over 145.5 points this season.
- The Wolf Pack average 75.9 points per game and the Falcons score 62.2, amounting to 7.4 points under the matchup's over/under of 145.5.
- This game's point total is 7.0 fewer points than the 152.5 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
- Nevada has seen a 148.3 average over/under in its games this season, 2.8 points more than the over/under in this contest.
- The over/under for this game is 3.3 points more than the average over/under in Air Force's games this season (142.2 points).
Betting the Spread: Nevada vs. Air Force
- In Nevada's 30 games this season, it has 16 wins against the spread.
- Air Force is 10-20-0 against the spread this year.
- The Falcons have been underdogs by 25.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
- Nevada is 10-6 against the spread, and 14-2 overall, at home.
- Air Force is 0-11 overall, and 4-7 against the spread, in away games.
Betting the Moneyline: Nevada vs. Air Force
- Nevada has entered the game as moneyline favorites 19 times this season and won 15, or 78.9%, of those games.
- The Wolf Pack have not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -50000.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Nevada has a 99.8% chance to win.
- Air Force has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 28 games this year and has walked away with the win one time (3.6%) in those games.
- Oddsmakers have given the Falcons the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +3500 moneyline listed for this contest.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Air Force has a 2.8% chance of pulling out a win.
Dunkel Index Prediction for Nevada vs. Air Force
- Pick ATS: Nevada (- 25.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (145.5)
- Prediction: Nevada 91 - Air Force 59
