NC State vs. Pittsburgh Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - ACC Tournament
11 March 2026

The No. 7 seed NC State Wolfpack (19-12, 10-8 ACC) are 8.5-point favorites in the ACC Tournament when they meet the No. 15 seed Pittsburgh Panthers (13-19, 5-13 ACC) on Wednesday at Spectrum Center, tipping off at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN2. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 144.5.
NC State heads into this contest on the heels of an 85-84 loss to Stanford on Saturday. Ven-Allen Lubin's team-high 17 points paced NC State in the loss. Pittsburgh's most recent outing on Tuesday ended in a 64-63 victory over Stanford. In Pittsburgh's win, Barry Dunning Jr. led the way with 16 points (adding eight rebounds and one assist).
NC State vs. Pittsburgh Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
- Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
- Spread favorite: NC State -8.5
- Moneyline favorite: NC State -362
- Moneyline underdog: Pittsburgh +280
- Over/Under: 144.5 points
How to watch NC State vs. Pittsburgh
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: NC State vs. Pittsburgh
- A total of 25 of NC State's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 144.5 points.
- There have been 12 Pittsburgh games that finished with a combined score over 144.5 points this season.
- Together, the two teams combine for 153.5 points per game, 9.0 points more than the point total of 144.5 for this matchup.
- These two teams give up a combined 147 points per game, 2.5 more than this contest's over/under.
- On average, NC State has seen a 159.5-point over/under in its games this season, 15.0 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- Pittsburgh's games have an average over/under of 141 points this season, 3.5 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.
Betting the Spread: NC State vs. Pittsburgh
- In NC State's 31 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
- The Wolfpack have an against the spread record of 8-7 in their 15 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more so far this season.
- Against the spread, Pittsburgh is 17-15-0 this season.
- The Panthers are 4-3 ATS when underdogs by 8.5 points or more this season.
- NC State is 8-9 against the spread, and 11-6 overall, at home.
- At home, NC State is 8-5 ATS as a 8.5-point favorite or more.
- Away from home, Pittsburgh is 3-8 overall and 6-5 against the spread.
Betting the Moneyline: NC State vs. Pittsburgh
- NC State has won 18, or 69.2%, of the 26 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
- The Wolfpack are 11-3 this season when entering a game favored by -362 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from NC State, based on the moneyline, is 78.4%.
- Pittsburgh has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (26.3%) in those games.
- The Panthers have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +280 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Pittsburgh has a 26.3% chance of walking away with the win.
