Mystics vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 9

The Washington Mystics (18-12) will be looking to build on a five-game home winning run when hosting the Phoenix Mercury (12-21) on Sunday, August 9, 2026 at CareFirst Arena. It airs at 3 p.m. ET on MNMT and AZFamily.

Washington earned a 79-74 victory against Atlanta in their last outing. The team was led by Shakira Austin's 21 points, 11 rebounds and five blocks and Kiki Iriafen's 15 points, seven rebounds, five assists and two steals.

Phoenix lost to Connecticut 75-72 on the road in its most recent game. Its top performers were Kelsey Plum (25 PTS, 56.3 FG%, 3-7 from 3PT) and Kahleah Copper (16 PTS, 2 STL, 40 FG%).

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Mystics vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Mystics-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Mystics (-1.5)
• Total: 168.5
• Mystics Moneyline: -118
• Mercury Moneyline: -104

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Mystics Betting Insights

• The Mystics have an implied moneyline win probability of 54.1% in this game.
• Washington has put together a 7-4 record in games when it was listed as a moneyline favorite (winning 63.6% of those games).
• The Mystics have compiled a 19-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
• In 13 of 30 games this season, Washington and its opponents have combined to score more than 168.5 points.
• Mystics outings this year have an average total of 164.1, 4.4 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The Mercury have a 51.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• This season, Phoenix has won six out of the 20 games, or 30%, in which it has been the underdog.
• The Mercury have put together a 15-18-0 record against the spread this year.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponents to score more than 168.5 points in 16 of 33 games this season.
• The average total for Mercury games this season has been 169.7, 1.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Mystics vs. Mercury

• The 81.6 points per game Washington averages are 5.6 fewer points than Phoenix gives up (87.2).
• When the Mystics put up more than 87.2 points, they are 8-1.
• So far in 2026, Washington's offense has been much better at home, where it scores 84.4 points per game, compared to on the road, where it averages 78.4 per game. On defense, it has been worse at home, where it surrenders 83.9 points per game, versus road games, where it allows its opponents to average 81.7 per game.
• Phoenix averages just 0.9 more points per game (83.8) than Washington allows its opponents to score (82.9).
• The Mercury have put together a 9-8 record in games when they've scored more than 82.9 points.
• At home Phoenix averages 85.6 points per game, 3.3 more than on the road (82.3). Defensively, it allows 88.3 points per game at home, two more than on the road (86.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.