Missouri vs. Virginia Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Gator Bowl

The Gator Bowl features a showdown between the Virginia Cavaliers (who are 4.5-point underdogs) and the Missouri Tigers on December 27, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

The Tigers won against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game, 31-17.

The Cavaliers lost to the Duke Blue Devils, 27-20, in their last contest.

Missouri vs. Virginia Predictions

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Missouri Tigers and Virginia Cavaliers, computer-calculated against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Cavaliers (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (44)
  
• Prediction: Tigers 21 - Cavaliers 20

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Missouri vs. Virginia Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Tigers-Cavaliers matchup.

• Missouri Moneyline: -186
• Virginia Moneyline: +155

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Missouri Betting Insights

• Missouri has won all seven of the games it has been listed as the moneyline favorite this season.
• Missouri has played in six games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -186 or shorter and won each time.
• The Tigers and their opponents have combined to score more than 44 points in nine of 12 games this season.
• The average total in Tigers contests this year is 50.2, 6.2 more points than this game's over/under.
• The Cavaliers are college football's 24th-highest scoring team this season compared to the 42nd-ranked Tigers.

Virginia Betting Insights

• Virginia has entered the game as an underdog four times this season and won three of those games.
• Virginia has entered three games this season as the underdog by +155 or more and won each of those games.
• Virginia has combined with its opponent to score more than 44 points in nine of 13 games this season.
• The average total for Virginia games this season has been 54.9, 10.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.

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Key Stats for Missouri vs. Virginia

• The Tigers have been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both total offense (24th-best with 429.8 yards per game) and total defense (ninth-best with 272.4 yards allowed per game) this season.
• Missouri ranks 29th in points scored this year (32.2 points per game), but has been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best in the FBS with 19.4 points allowed per game.
• The Cavaliers have been thriving on defense, allowing only 313.9 total yards per contest (24th-best). On offense, they rank 26th by putting up 426.3 total yards per game.
• From an offensive angle, Virginia is generating 32.2 points per game (29th-ranked). It ranks 31st in the FBS on the other side of the ball (20.5 points surrendered per game).