Michigan State vs. UCLA Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big Ten Tournament

The Big Ten conference tournament continues Friday as the No. 3 seed Michigan State Spartans (25-6, 15-5 Big Ten) face off against the No. 6 seed UCLA Bruins (22-10, 13-7 Big Ten) at United Center, tipping off at 9 p.m. ET on Big Ten Network. Michigan State is a 5.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 139.5 points.

Michigan State fell in its most recent outing 90-80 against Michigan on Sunday. Jaxon Kohler totaled 23 points, eight rebounds and three assists for Michigan State. UCLA heads into this game on the heels of a 72-59 win against Rutgers on Thursday. Tyler Bilodeau scored 21 points in UCLA's victory, leading the team.

Michigan State vs. UCLA Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 13, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Michigan State -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan State -256
• Moneyline underdog: UCLA +204
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Michigan State vs. UCLA

• TV Channel: BTN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan State vs. UCLA

• This season, Michigan State and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's over/under of 139.5 points 21 times.
• This season, 19 of UCLA's games have ended with a combined score higher than 139.5 points.
• The Spartans average 78.8 points per game against the Bruins' 77.8, amounting to 17.1 points over the game's point total of 139.5.
• This game's total is 1.2 fewer points than the 138.3 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, Michigan State has had a 146.5-point over/under in its games this season, seven more points than the over/under in this contest.
• UCLA's games have an average over/under of 148.3 points this season, 8.8 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Michigan State vs. UCLA

• Michigan State is 16-15-0 against the spread this year.
• So far this season, the Spartans have been installed as favorites by a 5.5-point margin or more 18 times and are 7-11 ATS in those games.
• UCLA is 15-17-0 against the spread this season.
• The Bruins have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 5.5 points or more (in six chances).
• At home this year, Michigan State is 8-9 against the spread and 15-2 overall.
• This year, as a 5.5-point favorite or more at home, Michigan State is 5-7 ATS.
• UCLA is 4-6 overall, and 4-6 against the spread, away from home.
• UCLA is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 5.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan State vs. UCLA

• This season, Michigan State has won 23 out of the 25 games, or 92%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Spartans have won 17 of their 18 games, or 94.4%, when favored by at least -256 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan State has a 71.9% chance to win.
• UCLA has been victorious in three of the 10 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Bruins have a win-loss record of 1-4 with odds of +204 or worse this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UCLA has a 32.9% chance of pulling out a win.