Michigan State vs. Iowa Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 6

The No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (24-5, 15-3 Big Ten) take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (15-14, 6-12 Big Ten) as 6.5-point favorites on Thursday, March 6, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. The matchup's over/under is set at 151.5.

Last time out, Michigan State won on Sunday 71-62 over Wisconsin. In the win, Jaden Akins led Michigan State with 19 points. Iowa's most recent outing was a 68-57 loss to Northwestern on Friday. Iowa got a team-best 14 points from Drew Thelwell in the loss.

Michigan State vs. Iowa Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 6, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa
• Spread favorite: Michigan State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan State -293
• Moneyline underdog: Iowa +234
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch Michigan State vs. Iowa

• TV Channel: FOX Sports Networks
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan State vs. Iowa

• This season, Michigan State and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's total of 151.5 points 10 times.
• There have been 19 Iowa games that ended with a combined score higher than 151.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 160.2 points per game, 8.7 points more than the point total of 151.5 for this game.
• This game's total is 5.8 fewer points than the 145.7 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2023.
• On average, the over/under in Michigan State's games is 6.9 fewer points than the over/under of 151.5 in this matchup.
• Iowa's games have an average over/under of 161.3 points this season, 9.8 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Michigan State vs. Iowa

• Against the spread, Michigan State is 19-10-0 this year.
• The Spartans have been favored by 6.5 points or more 15 times this season and are 10-5 ATS in those matchups.
• Iowa has played 29 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• The Hawkeyes have been underdogs by 6.5 points or more seven times this season and covered the spread once.
• Iowa is 8-9 against the spread, and 12-5 overall, at home.
• As a 6.5-point underdog or greater at home, Iowa is 5-5 ATS.
• Away from home, Michigan State is 6-2 overall and 6-2 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan State vs. Iowa

• Michigan State has been the moneyline favorite in 22 games this season and won 19 (86.4%) of those contests.
• The Spartans have a record of 14-1, a 93.3% win rate, when favored by -293 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 74.6% chance of a victory for Michigan State.
• Iowa has been a moneyline underdog in 13 games this season and has come away with the win one time (7.7%) in those contests.
• The Hawkeyes have won all of their five games in which they were named as at least a +234 moneyline underdog.
• Iowa has an implied victory probability of 29.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.