Michigan vs. Michigan State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 8

In a contest featuring one of the hottest teams in college basketball, the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (28-2, 18-1 Big Ten, 9-1 in their last 10) face the No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (25-5, 15-4 Big Ten) at Crisler Center on March 8, 2026. The Wolverines are favorites by 10.5 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 150.5 points.

In its most recent matchup on Thursday, Michigan secured a 71-68 win over Iowa. In Michigan's win, Yaxel Lendeborg led the way with a team-high 16 points (adding eight rebounds and two assists). Michigan State won its most recent game 91-87 against Rutgers on Thursday. In Michigan State's win, Jeremy Fears Jr. led the team with 21 points (adding one rebound and eight assists).

Michigan vs. Michigan State Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Michigan
• Spread favorite: Michigan -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -476
• Moneyline underdog: Michigan State +363
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Michigan State

• TV Channel: CBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Michigan State

• Michigan and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday's over/under (150.5 points) 18 times this season.
• Seven of Michigan State's games have finished with a combined score over 150.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 167.1 points per game, 16.6 points more than the point total of 150.5 for this game.
• These two teams surrender a combined 135.7 points per game, 14.8 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Michigan has had a 157.1-point over/under in its games this season, 6.6 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Michigan State's games have an average over/under of 145.8 points this season, 4.7 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Michigan State

• In Michigan's 30 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Wolverines have been installed as favorites by a 10.5-point margin or more 20 times and are 8-12 ATS in those matchups.
• In Michigan State's 30 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread.
• At home this year, Michigan is 8-6 against the spread and 13-1 overall.
• This season, as a 10.5-point favorite or more at home, Michigan is 8-6 ATS.
• Michigan State is 6-3 overall, and 5-4 against the spread, in away games.
• Michigan State has one win ATS (1-2) as 10.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Michigan State

• This season, Michigan has won 27 out of the 29 games, or 93.1%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Wolverines have a record of 20-1, a 95.2% win rate, when favored by -476 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Michigan has a 82.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Michigan State has come away with two wins in the five contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Spartans this season with a +363 moneyline set for this game.
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 21.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.