Michigan vs. Alabama Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Sweet 16

The top-seeded Michigan Wolverines (33-3) and the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (25-9) will meet on Friday to compete for a spot in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. Michigan is favored by 9.5 points in the Sweet 16 matchup, which tips off at 7:50 p.m. ET on TBS. The over/under for the matchup is set at 172.5.

Their last time out, Michigan won on Saturday 95-72 against Saint Louis. In Michigan's win, Yaxel Lendeborg led the way with a team-high 25 points (adding six rebounds and two assists). Alabama enters this matchup on the heels of a 90-65 win against Texas Tech on Sunday. Latrell Wrightsell Jr.'s team-high 24 points paced Alabama in the victory.

Michigan vs. Alabama Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 27, 2026 at 7:50 p.m. ET
• Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Michigan -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -546
• Moneyline underdog: Alabama +388
• Over/Under: 172.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Alabama

• TV Channel: TBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Alabama

• This season, seven of Michigan's 36 games have gone over Friday's over/under of 172.5 points.
• In Alabama's 34 games this season, 20 finished with more combined points than Friday's point total of 172.5.
• The Wolverines average 87.4 points per game against the Crimson Tide's 91.6, amounting to 6.5 points over the matchup's point total of 172.5.
• This matchup's point total is 20.4 fewer points than the 152.1 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Michigan has seen a 157 average over/under in its games this season, 15.5 less than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 1.6 points separates the average over/under in Alabama's games (174.1 points) and this matchup's over/under (172.5).

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Alabama

• Michigan has played 36 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• The Wolverines have been favored by 9.5 points or more 26 times this season and are 11-15 ATS in those matchups.
• Against the spread, Alabama is 16-18-0 this season.
• Michigan is 9-6 against the spread, and 14-1 overall, at home this season.
• At home, as a 9.5-point favorite or greater, Michigan is 9-6 ATS.
• This year on the road, Alabama is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Alabama

• This season, Michigan has been moneyline favorites 35 times and won 32, or 91.4%, of those games.
• The Wolverines have a record of 23-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -546 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan has a 84.5% chance to win.
• Alabama has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in nine games this year and has walked away with the win five times (55.6%) in those games.
• Oddsmakers have given the Crimson Tide the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +388 moneyline listed for this contest.
• Alabama has an implied victory probability of 20.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.