Heat vs. Wizards Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 10

The Miami Heat (36-29) hope to extend a five-game home winning run when hosting the Washington Wizards (16-47) on March 10, 2026.

The Heat square off with the Wizards in a game that Miami is currently a massive favorite by 15.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 242.5.

Heat vs. Wizards Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 242.5 points
• Spread: Heat -15.5
• Moneyline: Heat (-1205), Wizards (+750)

How to watch Heat vs. Wizards

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, MNMT

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Wizards

• The Heat and their opponents have gone over 242.5 combined points in 25 of 65 games this season.
• Wizards games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 242.5 points in 23 of 63 outings.
• These two teams are scoring 232.4 points per game between them, 10.1 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• These teams surrender 239.8 points per game combined, 2.7 points fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Wizards

• Miami has covered 39 times in 65 games with a spread this season.
• The Wizards have put together a 26-37-0 record against the spread this year.
• Washington is 3-6 ATS this year when playing as at least 15.5-point underdogs.
• The Heat are 19-13 against the spread, and 21-11 overall, at home.
• In away games, the Wizards are 10-20 against the spread, and 5-25 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Wizards

• The Heat have gone 20-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.5% of those games).
• This season, the Wizards have been the underdog 58 times and won 14, or 24.1%, of those games.
• Miami has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -1205 or shorter.
• Washington has not won as an underdog of +750 or more on the moneyline this season in six games with those odds or longer.
• The Heat have a 92.3% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Wizards

• Pick ATS: Wizards (+ 15.5)
• Pick OU: Over (242.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 128 - Wizards 119
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!