Heat vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Dec. 3

The Miami Heat (14-7) go up against the Dallas Mavericks (7-15) on December 3, 2025. The matchup airs on FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV.

Miami is a 5.5-point favorite against Dallas when the Heat square off against the Mavericks on Wednesday. The over/under for the game is set at 240.5.

Heat vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: American Airlines Center
• Total: 240.5 points
• Spread: Heat -5.5
• Moneyline: Heat (-200), Mavericks (+168)

How to watch Heat vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Mavericks

• The Heat's 21 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 240.5 points 12 times.
• Mavericks games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 240.5 points in five of 22 outings.
• These two teams rack up a combined 235.4 points per game, 5.1 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
• These two teams together give up 234.5 points per game, six fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Mavericks

• Miami is 13-7-1 ATS this season.
• When playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, the Heat have an ATS record of 4-3.
• The Mavericks are 10-12-0 ATS this season.
• Dallas has covered the spread six times this season (6-3 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
• The Mavericks are 5-8 against the spread, and 4-9 overall, at home.
• Dallas is winless ATS (0-3) as a 5.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• The Heat are 5-3-1 against the spread, and 4-5 overall, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Mavericks

• The Heat are 7-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 77.8% of those games).
• This season, the Mavericks have been the underdog 15 times and won four, or 26.7%, of those games.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -200 or shorter, Miami has a record of 5-1 (83.3% win percentage).
• Dallas has a record of 2-7, a 22.2% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +168 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Heat's implied win probability is 66.7%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Heat (- 5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (240.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 123 - Mavericks 111
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!