Merrimack vs. UMass-Lowell Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 5

The Merrimack Warriors (0-1) square off against the UMass-Lowell River Hawks (1-0) as 6.5-point favorites on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 144.5 points.

In its last matchup on Monday, Merrimack suffered a 63-49 loss to Appalachian State. In Merrimack's loss, Denver Anglin led the way with a team-high 10 points (adding two rebounds and zero assists). UMass-Lowell's most recent game on Monday ended in a 121-57 win over Rivier. In UMass-Lowell's win, Jasiah Cannady led the way with 16 points (adding three rebounds and seven assists).

Merrimack vs. UMass-Lowell Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Lawler Arena in North Andover, Massachusetts
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -315
• Moneyline underdog: UMass-Lowell +250
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. UMass-Lowell

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. UMass-Lowell

• Merrimack's games went over 144.5 points scored, its current matchup's total, seven times (out of 34) last season.
• Last season, 16 of UMass-Lowell's 30 games had a combined total of more than 144.5 points scored.
• The two teams averaged a combined 1.1 fewer points per game (143.4) a season ago than this matchup's total of 144.5 points.
• The Warriors and the River Hawks saw their opponents average a combined 1.7 fewer points per game last season than the point total of 144.5 set in this game.
• Merrimack's average point total in matchups last year was 135.0, 9.5 points less than the total in this game.
• The average point total for UMass-Lowell in 2025 was 6.7 points higher than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. UMass-Lowell

• Merrimack put together a 20-14-0 ATS record last year.
• The Warriors were favored by 6.5 points or more nine times last season, and covered the spread in five of those contests.
• UMass-Lowell won 16 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover 14 times.
• When playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs last year, the River Hawks had an ATS record of 5-5.
• Merrimack was 9-2 against the spread, and 11-0 overall, at home last season.
• As a 6.5-point favorite or greater at home last season, Merrimack was 3-2 ATS.
• Away from home last season, UMass-Lowell was 9-10 against the spread and 5-13 overall.
• On the road, UMass-Lowell was winless ATS (0-1) as a 6.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. UMass-Lowell

• Merrimack finished with a 15-3 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 83.3% of those games).
• The Warriors went 5-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -315 or shorter (83.3%).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, Merrimack has an implied win probability of 75.9%.
• UMass-Lowell was underdogs in 19 games last season and won four (21.1%) of those contests.
• Last season, the River Hawks were at least a +250 underdog on the moneyline 10 times, losing each of those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 28.6% chance of a victory for UMass-Lowell.