Merrimack vs. Siena Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MAAC Tournament

The top-seeded Merrimack Warriors (23-10, 17-3 MAAC) are 3.5-point favorites to win the MAAC Tournament Championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 3 seed Siena Saints (22-11, 13-7 MAAC) on Tuesday at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall. The contest starts at 9 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 127.5 points.

Merrimack heads into this matchup on the heels of a 58-57 victory over Marist on Sunday. Tye Dorset scored a team-high 23 points for Merrimack in the victory. Siena's last game on Sunday ended in a 76-61 victory over Fairfield. Justice Shoats scored 26 points in Siena's win, leading the team.

Merrimack vs. Siena Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -167
• Moneyline underdog: Siena +135
• Over/Under: 127.5 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. Siena

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Siena

• This season, Merrimack's games have gone over this matchup's 127.5-point over/under 21 times.
• This season, 25 of Siena's games have ended with a combined score higher than 127.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 127.5 is 12.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Warriors (69) and Saints (70.7).
• This game's point total is 5.0 fewer points than the 132.5 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Merrimack has a 135.5 average over/under in its games this season, 8.0 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 9.3 points lower than the average over/under in Siena's games this season of 136.8.

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Siena

• Merrimack has played 33 games, with 20 wins against the spread.
• The Warriors have an ATS record of 6-5 in their 11 games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more so far this season.
• Siena is 19-14-0 against the spread this season.
• The Saints have always covered the spread this season when underdogs by 3.5 points or more.
• At home this year, Merrimack is 11-0 overall and 9-2 against the spread.
• At home, Merrimack is 4-2 ATS as a 3.5-point favorite or greater.
• Siena is 9-7 overall, and 9-7 against the spread, on the road.
• On the road, as 3.5-point underdogs or more, Siena is 5-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. Siena

• Merrimack has entered the game as moneyline favorites 17 times this season and won 15, or 88.2%, of those games.
• The Warriors have entered 12 games this season favored by -167 or more and are 11-1 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for Merrimack.
• Siena has won in one of the five contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Saints have been listed as an underdog of +135 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Siena has an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.