Merrimack vs. Marist Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MAAC Tournament

The top-seeded Merrimack Warriors (22-10, 17-3 MAAC) are 3.5-point favorites in the MAAC Tournament against the No. 5 seed Marist Red Foxes (19-11, 12-8 MAAC) on Sunday at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall. The matchup starts at 6 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's over/under is set at 125.5.

In its most recent game on Friday, Merrimack claimed a 70-48 victory against Sacred Heart. In Merrimack's win, Kevair Kennedy led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding eight rebounds and six assists). In its most recent matchup on Saturday, Marist claimed a 77-75 victory against Quinnipiac. Justin Menard scored 26 points in Marist's victory, leading the team.

Merrimack vs. Marist Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -3.5
• Over/Under: 125.5 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. Marist

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Marist

• Merrimack and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (125.5 points) 23 times this season.
• This season, 18 of Marist's games have finished with a combined score higher than 125.5 points.
• The total for the game of 125.5 is 13.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Warriors (69.3 points per game) and the Red Foxes (70.1 points per game).
• This game's point total is 5.3 less than the 130.8 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• This season, the average over/under for Merrimack's games is 136.2 points, 10.7 more than the total of 125.5 points set for this contest.
• Marist's games have an average over/under of 134.1 points this season, 8.6 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Marist

• In Merrimack's 32 games this year, it has 20 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Warriors have been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 6-4 ATS in those games.
• Marist is 14-15-0 against the spread this year.
• The Red Foxes have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more three times this year and covered the spread once.
• Merrimack is 9-2 against the spread, and 11-0 overall, at home this season.
• At home, Merrimack is 4-2 ATS as a 3.5-point favorite or greater.
• Marist is 7-7 overall, and 6-8 against the spread, away from home.
• Away from home, as 3.5-point underdogs or more, Marist is 3-2 ATS.