Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - NEC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Mercyhurst Lakers (16-16, 10-8 NEC) are favored by 4.5 points in their NEC Tournament matchup against the No. 5 seed Stonehill Skyhawks (12-20, 8-10 NEC) on Saturday at Mercyhurst Athletic Center, tipping off at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's point total is set at 129.5.

In its last game on Wednesday, Mercyhurst earned a 70-61 win against Fairleigh Dickinson. Jake Lemelman's team-high 20 points led Mercyhurst in the win. Stonehill is coming off of an 81-71 win against Le Moyne in its last outing on Wednesday. In Stonehill's win, Davante Hackett led the way with 26 points (adding two rebounds and one assist).

Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
• Where: Mercyhurst Athletic Center in Erie, Pennsylvania
• Spread favorite: Mercyhurst -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Mercyhurst -205
• Moneyline underdog: Stonehill +170
• Over/Under: 129.5 points

How to watch Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill

• This season, Mercyhurst and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under of 129.5 points 18 times.
• In Stonehill's 30 games this season, 16 finished with more combined points than Saturday's point total of 129.5.
• The total for the game of 129.5 is 7.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Lakers (69.7) and Skyhawks (66.9).
• The 136.5 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 7.0 more than the 129.5 total in this contest.
• Mercyhurst has seen a 137.3 average over/under in its games this season, 7.8 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 6.3 points lower than the average over/under in Stonehill's games this season (135.8 points).

Betting the Spread: Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill

• Against the spread, Mercyhurst is 20-10-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Lakers have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more eight times and are 4-4 ATS in those contests.
• Stonehill has played 30 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
• The Skyhawks are 11-4 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
• At home this year, Mercyhurst is 8-4 against the spread and 8-3 overall.
• At home, Mercyhurst is 4-4 ATS as a 4.5-point favorite or more.
• In away games, Stonehill is 11-7 against the spread, and 3-14 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill

• Mercyhurst has entered the game as moneyline favorites 16 times this season and won 11, or 68.8%, of those games.
• The Lakers have entered six games this season favored by -205 or more and are 5-1 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 67.2% chance of a victory for Mercyhurst.
• Stonehill has been victorious in seven, or 30.4%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Skyhawks have a mark of 2-11 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +170 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Stonehill has a 37% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.