Mercury vs. Fire: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 16

The Phoenix Mercury (13-22) battle the Portland Fire (14-20) at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, August 16, 2026. The matchup airs on ESPN and Disney+.

Phoenix earned a 94-87 victory versus Los Angeles in their last game. The team was led by Noemie Brochant's 24 points and five steals and Kahleah Copper's 18 points.

In its previous game, Portland won on the road over Seattle, 84-82. Its top scorers were Holly Winterburn (20 PTS, 7 REB, 5 AST, 3 STL, 57.1 FG%) and Carla Leite (14 PTS, 6 AST, 71.4 FG%, 2-3 from 3PT).

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Mercury vs. Fire Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Mercury-Fire game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-5.5)
• Total: 176.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -215
• Fire Moneyline: +172

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Mercury Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mercury have an implied win probability of 68.3%.
• Phoenix has been favored on the moneyline 13 times this season. They've gone 6-7 in those games.
• The Mercury have covered 16 times in 35 games with a spread this season.
• Phoenix's games this season have gone over this contest's total of 176.5 points 13 times.
• The average total in Mercury outings this year is 169.9, 6.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Fire Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Fire based on the moneyline is 36.8%.
• This season, Portland has been the underdog 27 times and won 10, or 37%, of those games.
• The Fire have put together an 18-16-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Portland has played 20 games this season that have gone over 176.5 combined points scored.
• Fire games this season have had an average of 172.9 points, 3.6 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Fire

• Phoenix puts up 7.4 fewer points per game (83.9) than Portland gives up (91.3).
• When the Mercury score more than 91.3 points, they are 5-3.
• Phoenix has scored at a higher clip at home than on the road in the 2026 season (85.6 points per game at home versus 82.6 on the road), but has also surrendered more points in home games than away (88.3 per home game versus 86.8 on the road).
• Portland's 86.7 points per game are just 0.7 fewer points than the 87.4 Phoenix allows.
• The Fire have gone 7-7 when they've scored more than 87.4 points.
• At home, Portland scores 87.6 points per game, 1.8 more than away (85.8). Defensively, it gives up 90.6 points per game at home, 1.6 fewer than on the road (92.2).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.