Mercury vs. Fire: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 16

The Phoenix Mercury (13-22) take on the Portland Fire (14-20) at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, August 16, 2026 on ESPN and Disney+.

Phoenix defeated Los Angeles 94-87 in its last game. Noemie Brochant led the way with 24 points and five steals, followed by Kahleah Copper with 18 points.

In its previous game, Portland defeated Seattle 84-82 on the road, with Holly Winterburn (20 PTS, 7 REB, 5 AST, 3 STL, 57.1 FG%) and Carla Leite (14 PTS, 6 AST, 71.4 FG%, 2-3 from 3PT) the standout performers.

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Mercury vs. Fire Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Mercury-Fire game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-5.5)
• Total: 178.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -194
• Fire Moneyline: +156

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Mercury Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Mercury's implied win probability is 66.0%.
• Phoenix has gone 6-7 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 46.2% of those games).
• The Mercury have won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 19 times.
• In 12 of 35 games this season, Phoenix and its opponents have gone over 178.5 points.
• The Mercury have an average total of 169.9 in their outings this year, 8.6 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Fire Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Fire based on the moneyline is 39.1%.
• Portland has entered the game as the underdog 27 times this season and won 10, or 37%, of those games.
• The Fire have put together an 18-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• Portland has played 19 games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 178.5 points.
• The average over/under for Fire outings this season is 172.9, 5.6 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Fire

• Phoenix puts up 7.4 fewer points per game (83.9) than Portland gives up (91.3).
• When the Mercury score more than 91.3 points, they are 5-3.
• Phoenix has scored at a higher rate in home games than on the road in the 2026 season (85.6 points per game at home versus 82.6 on the road), and has also given up more points at home than in road games (88.3 per home game versus 86.8 on the road).
• Portland's 86.7 points per game are just 0.7 fewer points than the 87.4 Phoenix gives up to opponents.
• When they score more than 87.4 points, the Fire are 7-7.
• At home, Portland puts up 87.6 points per game, 1.8 more than on the road (85.8). Defensively, it concedes 90.6 points per game at home, 1.6 fewer than away (92.2).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.