McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Southland Tournament

The No. 2 seed McNeese Cowboys (26-5, 19-3 Southland) are favored by 7.5 points in the Southland Tournament over the No. 3 seed UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (19-13, 14-8 Southland). The teams will hit the court Tuesday at 9:30 p.m. ET live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total in the matchup is set at 140.5.

McNeese enters this contest on the heels of a 75-65 win against Nicholls State on Monday. Larry Johnson totaled 25 points, six rebounds and zero assists for McNeese. In its last outing on Monday, UT Rio Grande Valley earned an 86-68 win against Nicholls State. Filip Brankovic's team-leading 21 points paced UT Rio Grande Valley in the victory.

McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: McNeese -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: McNeese -375
• Moneyline underdog: UT Rio Grande Valley +289
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• This season, McNeese's games have gone over this matchup's 140.5-point total 16 times.
• This season, 16 of UT Rio Grande Valley's games have ended with a combined score higher than 140.5 points.
• The point total for the contest of 140.5 is 15.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cowboys (80 points per game) and the Vaqueros (75.8 points per game).
• This matchup's point total is 5.2 fewer points than the 135.3 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, McNeese has seen a 146.3-point over/under in its games this season, 5.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 4.3 points lower than the average over/under in UT Rio Grande Valley's games this season of 144.8.

Betting the Spread: McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• McNeese is 13-16-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Cowboys have an against-the-spread record of 10-13 in their 23 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, UT Rio Grande Valley is 17-13-0 this season.
• This year, the Vaqueros have an against-the-spread record of 4-1 in their five games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
• McNeese is 12-0 overall, and 7-5 against the spread, at home.
• McNeese is 7-5 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home.
• This season in away games, UT Rio Grande Valley is 11-5 against the spread and 8-8 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• McNeese has been the moneyline favorite in 26 games this season and won 23 (88.5%) of those contests.
• The Cowboys are 20-2 this season when entering a game favored by -375 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from McNeese, based on the moneyline, is 78.9%.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has been a moneyline underdog in 10 games this season and has come away with the win four times (40%) in those contests.
• The Vaqueros have a mark of 1-4 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +289 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UT Rio Grande Valley has a 25.7% chance of walking away with the win.