McNeese vs. SFA Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Southland Tournament

The Southland championship will be decided Wednesday as the No. 2 seed McNeese Cowboys (27-5, 19-3 Southland) face off against the No. 1 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (28-4, 20-2 Southland) at 5 p.m. ET, live on ESPN2. McNeese is listed as a 1.5-point favorite to win the contest and claim the conference title and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's point total is set at 138.5.

McNeese came out on top in its most recent matchup 84-80 in OT against UT Rio Grande Valley on Tuesday. Larry Johnson totaled 27 points, 12 rebounds and one assist for McNeese. In its last outing on Tuesday, SFA secured a 60-58 victory against Texas A&M-CC. Keon Thompson scored 24 points in SFA's victory, leading the team.

McNeese vs. SFA Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: McNeese -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: McNeese -126
• Moneyline underdog: SFA +106
• Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch McNeese vs. SFA

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: McNeese vs. SFA

• This season, McNeese and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total of 138.5 points 19 times.
• There have been 16 SFA games that ended with a combined score higher than 138.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 138.5 is 18.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cowboys (80.2 points per game) and the Lumberjacks (76.9 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 132.3 points per game, 6.2 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for McNeese's games is 146.8 points, 8.3 more than the total of 138.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 4.0 points lower than the average over/under in SFA's games this season of 142.5.

Betting the Spread: McNeese vs. SFA

• McNeese has 13 wins against the spread in 30 games this season.
• The Cowboys have an against the spread record of 12-15 in their 27 games when favored by 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• SFA is 22-8-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Lumberjacks have an ATS record of 5-1 in their six games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• At home this year, SFA is 13-1 overall and 10-4 against the spread.
• At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, SFA is 8-4 ATS.
• McNeese is 9-5 overall, and 3-11 against the spread, away from home.
• This season McNeese is 3-9 ATS as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: McNeese vs. SFA

• McNeese has been the moneyline favorite in 27 games this season and won 24 (88.9%) of those contests.
• The Cowboys have a record of 24-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
• McNeese has a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• SFA has been a moneyline underdog in six games this season and has come away with the win four times (66.7%) in those contests.
• The Lumberjacks have a mark of 2-1 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies SFA has a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.