Marquette vs. Xavier Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big East Tournament

The No. 7 seed Marquette Golden Eagles (12-19, 7-13 Big East) are 4.5-point favorites in the Big East Tournament when they meet the No. 10 seed Xavier Musketeers (14-17, 6-14 Big East) on Wednesday at Madison Square Garden, beginning at 6:30 p.m. ET on Peacock. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.

Marquette came out on top in its most recent game 68-62 against UConn on Saturday. Nigel James Jr. scored a team-high 19 points for Marquette in the win. Xavier's most recent game was a 91-78 loss to Villanova on Saturday. Jovan Milicevic scored 21 points in Xavier's loss, leading the team.

Marquette vs. Xavier Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• Spread favorite: Marquette -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Marquette -197
• Moneyline underdog: Xavier +159
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch Marquette vs. Xavier

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Marquette vs. Xavier

• A total of 10 of Marquette's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 154.5 points.
• This season, 20 games Xavier has played finished with a combined score higher than 154.5 points.
• The Golden Eagles average 74.8 points per game against the Musketeers' 78.4, totaling 1.3 points under the game's over/under of 154.5.
• These two teams give up a combined 155.4 points per game, 0.9 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Marquette's games is 150.1 points, 4.4 fewer than the over/under of 154.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 3.9 points lower than the average over/under in Xavier's games this season of 158.4.

Betting the Spread: Marquette vs. Xavier

• Marquette has 13 wins against the spread in 31 games this season.
• The Golden Eagles have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 4.5 points or more (in 10 chances).
• Xavier has 16 wins against the spread in 31 games this season.
• The Musketeers have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 14 times this season and are 8-6 ATS in those contests.
• At home this season, Marquette is 7-10 against the spread and 10-7 overall.
• Marquette has two wins ATS (2-8) as a 4.5-point favorite or more at home.
• This year on the road, Xavier is 4-7 against the spread and 1-10 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Marquette vs. Xavier

• Marquette has been the moneyline favorite in 13 games this season and won eight (61.5%) of those contests.
• The Golden Eagles have a record of 6-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -197 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Marquette, based on the moneyline, is 66.3%.
• Xavier has come away with four wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Musketeers have a win-loss record of 2-12 with odds of +159 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Xavier has a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.