Louisville vs. Miami (FL) Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - ACC Tournament

The No. 6 seed Louisville Cardinals (23-9, 11-7 ACC) are favored by 1.5 points in the ACC Tournament over the No. 3 seed Miami Hurricanes (24-7, 13-5 ACC). The teams will hit the court Thursday at 2:30 p.m. ET live on ESPN2, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total in the matchup is 154.5.

In its most recent outing on Wednesday, Louisville earned a 62-58 victory over SMU. In Louisville's win, Ryan Conwell led the way with a team-high 16 points (adding three rebounds and zero assists). Miami (FL)'s last outing was a 92-89 loss to Louisville on Saturday. Tre Donaldson scored a team-best 25 points for Miami (FL) in the loss.

Louisville vs. Miami (FL) Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 2:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
• Spread favorite: Louisville -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Louisville -134
• Moneyline underdog: Miami (FL) +109
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch Louisville vs. Miami (FL)

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Louisville vs. Miami (FL)

• This season, Louisville and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's total of 154.5 points 18 times.
• A total of 14 of Miami (FL)'s games have ended with a combined score higher than 154.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 167.8 points per game, 13.3 points more than the total of 154.5 for this contest.
• These two teams surrender a combined 142.7 points per game, 11.8 points less than this contest's over/under.
• Louisville has seen a 157.1 average over/under in its games this season, 2.6 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 1.1 points higher than the average over/under in Miami (FL)'s games this season of 153.4.

Betting the Spread: Louisville vs. Miami (FL)

• Louisville is 16-16-0 against the spread this year.
• The Cardinals are 15-13 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
• Against the spread, Miami (FL) is 17-14-0 this year.
• The Hurricanes are 6-3 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
• Miami (FL) is 8-10 against the spread, and 15-3 overall, at home this season.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or greater at home, Miami (FL) is 7-10 ATS.
• Louisville is 4-7 overall, and 3-8 against the spread, away from home.
• On the road, Louisville has two wins ATS (2-6) as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Louisville vs. Miami (FL)

• Louisville has won 21, or 77.8%, of the 27 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Cardinals have entered 27 games this season favored by -134 or more and are 21-6 in those contests.
• Louisville has a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Miami (FL) has come away with five wins in the nine contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Hurricanes have been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or longer on the moneyline.
• Miami (FL) has an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.