Rams vs. Falcons Week 17 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Los Angeles Rams (11-4) are favored by 7.5 points against the Atlanta Falcons (6-9) on December 29, 2025, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET, airing on ESPN. An over/under of 49.5 points has been established for the matchup.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Rams have been a top-five unit, ranking best in the NFL by averaging 30.5 points per game. They rank seventh on defense (19.9 points allowed per game). With 340.5 total yards per game on offense, the Falcons rank 13th in the NFL in 2025. On defense, they rank 14th, allowing 323.3 total yards per contest.

Rams vs. Falcons Odds and Game Time

• Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Total: 49.5 points
• Spread: Rams -7.5
• Moneyline: Rams (-340), Falcons (+270)

How to watch Rams vs. Falcons

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Rams vs. Falcons

• Rams games this season have gone over this contest's total of 49.5 points seven times.
• Los Angeles and its opponent have combined to go over the point total eight out of 15 times this season.
• The Falcons have played five games this season that ended with a combined score over 49.5 points.
• Atlanta and its opponent have combined to go over the point total seven out of 15 times this year.
• These teams score 51 points per game between them, 1.5 more than this game's total.
• Opponents of these teams score 43.9 points per game combined, 5.6 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Rams vs. Falcons

• Los Angeles has covered the spread 11 times in 15 games this season.
• Los Angeles has been favored by 7.5 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in three of those matchups.
• The Falcons have won eight games against the spread this season, failing to cover seven times.
• The Falcons have covered the spread twice at home, and are 2-4 overall there, this year.
• This season away from home, the Rams are 6-2 against the spread and 5-3 overall.
• Away from home, Los Angeles has one win ATS (1-1) as 7.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Rams vs. Falcons

• Los Angeles has won 84.6% of the games this season when it was the moneyline favorite (11-2).
• The Falcons have won four of the nine games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Los Angeles has a 4-2 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -340 or shorter.
• Atlanta has played as an underdog of +270 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Rams have an implied moneyline win probability of 77.3% in this game.

Dunkel Prediction for Rams vs. Falcons

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