LIU vs. Mercyhurst Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - NEC Tournament
09 March 2026

The No. 1 seed Long Island Sharks (23-10, 15-3 NEC) are 5.5-point favorites to claim the NEC championship and a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket when they face off with the No. 3 Mercyhurst Lakers (17-16, 10-8 NEC) on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET, live on ESPN2. The point total is 136.5 in the matchup.
LIU is coming off of a 64-56 win over Wagner in its most recent game on Saturday. In the victory, Greg Gordon paced LIU with 19 points. Mercyhurst's last outing on Saturday ended in a 56-51 win against Stonehill. Cameron Johnson's team-high 17 points paced Mercyhurst in the win.
LIU vs. Mercyhurst Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Steinberg Wellness Center in Brooklyn, New York
- Spread favorite: LIU -5.5
- Moneyline favorite: LIU -246
- Moneyline underdog: Mercyhurst +198
- Over/Under: 136.5 points
How to watch LIU vs. Mercyhurst
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: LIU vs. Mercyhurst
- LIU and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's over/under (136.5 points) 18 times this season.
- A total of 16 of Mercyhurst's games have ended with a combined score higher than 136.5 points this season.
- Together, the two teams combine for 143.2 points per game, 6.7 points more than the over/under of 136.5 for this contest.
- This game's over/under is 1.7 fewer points than the 138.2 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
- On average, LIU has seen a 145.1-point over/under in its games this season, 8.6 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- Mercyhurst's games have an average over/under of 136.3 points this season, 0.2 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: LIU vs. Mercyhurst
- LIU has 15 wins against the spread in 33 games this season.
- The Sharks have been favored by 5.5 points or more 17 times this season and are 6-11 ATS in those games.
- Mercyhurst is 21-10-0 against the spread this season.
- The Lakers have been underdogs by 5.5 points or more eight times this year and are 6-2 ATS in those matchups.
- LIU is 7-7 against the spread, and 11-1 overall, at home.
- This year, as a 5.5-point favorite or more at home, LIU is 4-5 ATS.
- Mercyhurst is 5-13 overall, and 12-6 against the spread, on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: LIU vs. Mercyhurst
- LIU has entered the game as moneyline favorites 24 times this season and won 21, or 87.5%, of those games.
- The Sharks are 16-1 this season when entering a game favored by -246 or more on the moneyline.
- LIU has a 71.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Mercyhurst has won in three, or 21.4%, of the 14 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- The Lakers have a win-loss record of 1-7 with odds of +198 or worse this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mercyhurst has a 33.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
