Lightning vs. Red Wings NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 12

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will play on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. Lightning (-205) versus Red Wings (+170) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay's last game was a 5-2 home loss to the Columbus Blue Jackets on March 10. Anthony Cirelli (one assist) and Victor Hedman (one assist) were among the five Lightning players who recorded one point each.

Detroit lost 4-3 on the road against the Florida Panthers in its last game on March 10. Justin Faulk had two points (one goal and one assist) in that outing for the Red Wings.

Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will come out on top in Thursday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 5 - Red Wings 2
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.97 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Red Wings game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-205)
• Underdog: Red Wings (+170)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have been victorious in 32 of their 52 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (61.5%).
• Tampa Bay is 9-5 (winning 64.3% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -205 or shorter.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 67.2% to win.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 29 of 63 games this season.

Red Wings Betting Insights

• This season the Red Wings have won 18 of the 33 games, or 54.5%, in which they've been an underdog.
• Detroit has not had a game this season with longer odds on the moneyline than +170.
• Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Red Wings have a 37.0% chance to win.
• Detroit has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 28 of 65 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 221 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the sixth-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Lightning have been one of the stingiest units in league play, allowing 175 total goals (2.8 per game) to rank third.
• Its +46 goal differential is the third-best in the league.
• The 42 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (to rank 13th in the NHL) have come on 197 power-play chances.
• Tampa Bay is 13th in the league with a 21.32% power-play conversion rate.
• The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 23rd among NHL squads.
• Tampa Bay has the league's ninth-best penalty-kill percentage (81.37%).
• Tampa Bay has the 28th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 47.2%.
• The Lightning make 12.4% of their shots (fourth in the league).

Red Wings Key Stats

• Detroit's 190 goals on the season (2.9 per game) rank 19th in the NHL.
• The Red Wings' total of 191 goals given up (2.9 per game) is 11th in the league.
• Its -1 goal differential ranks 17th in the league.
• With 45 power-play goals (on 202 chances), the Red Wings are eighth-best in the NHL.
• Detroit has the league's 12th-ranked power-play percentage (22.28%).
• The Red Wings have two shorthanded goals (28th in league).
• The 78.95% penalty-kill percentage of Detroit is 17th in the NHL.
• Detroit is 10th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (51%).
• The 10.4% shooting percentage of the Red Wings is 25th in the league.