Lightning vs. Kraken NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 17

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Seattle Kraken -- the former coming off a loss, the latter a win -- will play on Tuesday at 10 p.m. ET, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. Lightning (-185) at Kraken (+154) appears lopsided, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay lost 4-2 at home its last time out on March 14 against the Carolina Hurricanes. Yanni Gourde (one goal) and Brayden Point (one assist) were among the six Lightning skaters who put up one point each.

Seattle won its last game 6-2 at home over the Florida Panthers on March 15. Kaapo Kakko led the Kraken with three points (one goal and two assists) in that outing.

Before watching this matchup, here's a look at which squad we think will emerge with the victory in Tuesday's action on the ice.

Lightning vs. Kraken Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Seattle Kraken, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 4 - Kraken 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.01 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Kraken Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Kraken matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-185)
• Underdog: Kraken (+154)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning are 33-21 when favored on the moneyline this season.
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -185 or shorter, Tampa Bay is 13-6 (winning 68.4% of the time).
• The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Lightning have a 64.9% chance to win.
• Tampa Bay's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 29 times.

Kraken Betting Insights

• The Kraken have been listed as an underdog 56 times this season, and won 26, or 46.4%, of those games.
• Seattle is 5-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +154 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set in this contest implies a 39.4% chance of victory for the Kraken.
• Seattle has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 20 of 66 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 227 total goals (3.5 per game) rank eighth in the league.
• The Lightning have given up 180 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking second in league play for the fewest goals against.
• Its +47 goal differential is the third-best in the league.
• The 43 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season (on 201 power-play chances) rank 12th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay ranks 14th in the league with a 21.39% power-play conversion rate.
• The Lightning have recorded three shorthanded goals this season (24th among NHL squads).
• Tampa Bay's 81.64% penalty-kill success rate is the ninth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay has the 29th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 47.2%.
• The Lightning shoot 12.4% as a team (third in the league).

Kraken Key Stats

• With 190 goals (2.9 per game), Seattle has the league's 23rd-ranked offense.
• The Kraken have one of the best defenses in the NHL, conceding 195 total goals (3.0 per game), ninth in the league.
• it has the 18th-ranked goal differential in the league at -5.
• The Kraken have 40 power-play goals (17th in NHL) on 192 chances.
• Seattle's power-play percentage (20.83) ranks the team 15th in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Kraken have two.
• At 73.6%, Seattle has the 31st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• At 47.7%, Seattle has the NHL's 25th-ranked faceoff win rate.
• With a shooting percentage of 11.2%, the Kraken are 14th in the league.