Lightning vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 2
02 December 2025

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a loss -- will face each other on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET, at UBS Arena in Elmont. Lightning (-120) at Islanders (+100) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
Tampa Bay earned a 4-1 road victory against the New York Rangers in its last game on Nov. 29. The Lightning got three points each out of Darren Raddysh (three assists) and Nikita Kucherov (three assists).
New York played at home in its last game on Nov. 30, and lost 4-1 against the Washington Capitals. Bo Horvat (one goal) and Matthew Schaefer (one assist) were among the three Islanders players who collected one point each in that matchup.
Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a peek at which club we pick to bring home the victory in Tuesday's action on the ice.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick
Ahead of the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Lightning 5 - Islanders 2
- Pick OU:
Over 5.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.04 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Lightning vs. Islanders Moneylines
Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Islanders matchup.
- Favorite: Lightning (-120)
- Underdog: Islanders (+100)
Lightning Betting Insights
- The Lightning are 11-6 when favored on the moneyline this season.
- Tampa Bay is 11-6 (victorious in 64.7% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -120 or shorter.
- The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 54.5% in this contest.
- Tampa Bay's 25 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals 13 times.
Islanders Betting Insights
- The Islanders have been an underdog in 15 games this season, and won nine (60.0%).
- This season New York has won nine of its 13 games, or 69.2%, when it's the underdog by at least +100 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of victory for the Islanders.
- New York has combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in 14 of 26 games this season.
Lightning Key Stats
- Tampa Bay has scored the seventh-most goals in the NHL (84 total, 3.4 per game).
- The Lightning have given up 65 total goals (2.6 per game), the third-fewest in league action.
- It has the league's fourth-best goal differential at +19.
- The 12 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (on 77 power-play chances) rank 22nd in the NHL.
- Tampa Bay ranks 26th in the league with a 15.58% power-play conversion rate.
- The Lightning have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
- Tampa Bay kills 88.75% of opponent power plays, the second-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Tampa Bay has the 31st-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 45.4%.
- The Lightning connect on 12.7% of their shots (third in the league).
Islanders Key Stats
- New York's 75 goals on the season (2.9 per game) rank 21st in the league.
- The Islanders' total of 74 goals conceded (2.8 per game) is 13th in the NHL.
- Its +1 goal differential ranks 13th in the league.
- The Islanders have 12 power-play goals (on 87 chances), 22nd in the NHL.
- New York scores on 13.79% of its power plays, No. 29 in the NHL.
- The Islanders have a league-leading five shorthanded goals.
- The 81.58% penalty-kill percentage of New York is 12th in the NHL.
- At 52.2%, New York has the NHL's ninth-best faceoff win percentage.
- The Islanders' 9.8% shooting percentage is 27th in the league.
