Lightning vs. Hurricanes NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 14

A pair of the Eastern Conference's best clubs meet on Saturday, March 14 when the third-place Tampa Bay Lightning (40-20-4) host the first-place Carolina Hurricanes (41-18-6). The bookmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -125 on the moneyline, and the Hurricanes are at +105.

Tampa Bay claimed a 4-1 home victory against the Detroit Red Wings in its last game on March 12. Gage Goncalves (two goals) and Brayden Point (two assists) were among the four Lightning players who recorded two points each.

Carolina lost 3-1 at home against the St. Louis Blues in its last game on March 12. Mark Jankowski had one point (one goal) in that matchup for the Hurricanes.

Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Saturday's game.

Lightning vs. Hurricanes Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Carolina Hurricanes, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Hurricanes 3 - Lightning 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.06 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Hurricanes Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Hurricanes game.

• Favorite: Lightning (-125)
• Underdog: Hurricanes (+105)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have won 62.3% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (33-20).
• Tampa Bay is 30-18 (victorious in 62.5% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter.
• The Lightning have a 55.6% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
• Tampa Bay's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 29 times.

Hurricanes Betting Insights

• This season the Hurricanes have been an underdog four times, and won one of those games.
• Carolina has played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer twice so far this season. They split the games 1-1.
• Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Hurricanes have a 48.8% chance to win.
• Carolina and its opponent have combined to score over 6.5 goals in 35 of 65 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 225 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the fifth-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• The Lightning have conceded 176 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking third in league action for the fewest goals against.
• Its +49 goal differential is the third-best in the league.
• The 43 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (on 198 power-play chances) rank 12th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay has the league's 13th-ranked power-play conversion rate (21.72%).
• The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 24th among NHL teams.
• Tampa Bay kills 81.46% of opponent power plays, the ninth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 47.3% of its faceoffs to rank 28th in the NHL.
• The Lightning shoot 12.5% as a team (third in the league).

Hurricanes Key Stats

• Carolina's 225 goals on the season (3.5 per game) rank fifth in the NHL.
• The Hurricanes have one of the top defenses in the league, giving up 187 total goals (2.9 per game), seventh in the league.
• Its +38 goal differential is the fourth-best in the league.
• With 44 power-play goals (on 198 chances), the Hurricanes are 11th in the NHL.
• Carolina's power-play percentage (22.22) puts the team 11th in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Hurricanes have six.
• The 79.67% penalty-kill percentage of Carolina is 14th in the NHL.
• Carolina is 15th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (50.5%).
• The Hurricanes' 10.8% shooting percentage is 20th in the league.