Liberty vs. Sam Houston Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 7

In a matchup featuring one of the hottest teams in college basketball, the Sam Houston Bearkats (21-9, 13-6 CUSA) face the Liberty Flames (24-6, 16-3 CUSA) at Liberty Arena on March 7, 2026. The Bearkats are 8-2 in their past 10 games, but the Flames are favorites by 4.5 points. The point total for the matchup is set at 156.5.

Liberty is coming off of a 76-71 loss to Louisiana Tech in its most recent outing on Thursday. Brett Decker Jr.'s team-leading 30 points paced Liberty in the losing effort. Sam Houston fell in its last matchup 83-80 against Delaware on Thursday. Jacob Walker's team-high 23 points paced Sam Houston in the loss.

Liberty vs. Sam Houston Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Liberty -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Liberty -201
• Moneyline underdog: Sam Houston +166
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch Liberty vs. Sam Houston

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Liberty vs. Sam Houston

• This season, Liberty and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total of 156.5 points five times.
• There have been 15 Sam Houston games that ended with a combined score higher than 156.5 points this season.
• The total for the contest of 156.5 is 5.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Flames (78.4) and Bearkats (83.3).
• These two teams surrender a combined 144.4 points per game, 12.1 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in Liberty's games is 7.9 fewer points than the over/under of 156.5 in this contest.
• Sam Houston's games have an average over/under of 157.6 points this season, 1.1 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Liberty vs. Sam Houston

• In Liberty's 27 games this year, it has 11 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Flames have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 20 times and are 7-13 ATS in those games.
• In Sam Houston's 27 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Bearkats have been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more six times and are 4-2 ATS in those matchups.
• Liberty is 5-7 against the spread, and 10-2 overall, at home.
• This season, as a 4.5-point favorite or more at home, Liberty is 5-7 ATS.
• On the road, Sam Houston is 10-4 against the spread, and 6-8 overall.
• Sam Houston has one win ATS (1-1) as 4.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Liberty vs. Sam Houston

• Liberty has won 19, or 79.2%, of the 24 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Flames have a record of 14-4 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -201 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 66.8% chance of a victory for Liberty.
• Sam Houston has won in six, or 46.2%, of the 13 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Bearkats have been a moneyline underdog of -201 or more six times, losing every contest.
• Sam Houston has an implied victory probability of 37.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.