Kentucky vs. Missouri Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament

The No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (20-12, 10-8 SEC) are favored by 3.5 points in their SEC Tournament matchup against the No. 8 seed Missouri Tigers (20-11, 10-8 SEC) on Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, starting at 12:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 148.5.

Last time out, Kentucky won on Wednesday 87-82 over LSU. In the win, Otega Oweh paced Kentucky with 23 points. Missouri's last game on Saturday ended in an 88-84 loss to Arkansas in overtime. Missouri got a team-best 32 points from Mark Mitchell in the loss.

Kentucky vs. Missouri Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 12:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Kentucky -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Kentucky -159
• Moneyline underdog: Missouri +129
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch Kentucky vs. Missouri

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Kentucky vs. Missouri

• A total of 22 of Kentucky's games this season have gone over Thursday's total of 148.5 points.
• This season, 18 games Missouri has played finished with a combined score over 148.5 points.
• The Wildcats average 81.4 points per game against the Tigers' 79.9, amounting to 12.8 points over the contest's over/under of 148.5.
• This game's total is 0.8 less than the 149.3 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• On average, Kentucky has had a 155.4-point over/under in its games this season, 6.9 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 6.7 points separates the average over/under in Missouri's games (155.2 points) and this contest's over/under (148.5).

Betting the Spread: Kentucky vs. Missouri

• Kentucky has 15 wins against the spread in 32 games this season.
• So far this season, the Wildcats have been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more 19 times and are 8-11 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, Missouri is 14-17-0 this season.
• So far this year, the Tigers have been installed as underdogs by a 3.5-point margin or more nine times and are 6-3 ATS in those games.
• Missouri is 15-3 overall, and 8-10 against the spread, at home.
• As a 3.5-point underdog or more at home, Missouri is 4-7 ATS.
• Away from home, Kentucky is 4-6 overall and 5-5 against the spread.
• Kentucky has one win ATS (1-1) on the road as 3.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Kentucky vs. Missouri

• This season, Kentucky has won 17 out of the 21 games, or 81%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Wildcats have won 14 of their 18 games, or 77.8%, when favored by at least -159 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for Kentucky.
• Missouri has been a moneyline underdog in 13 games this season and has come away with the win six times (46.2%) in those contests.
• This year, the Tigers have won five of nine games when listed as at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Missouri has a 43.7% chance of walking away with the win.