Kentucky vs. LSU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament
09 March 2026

The No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (19-12, 10-8 SEC) are favored by 7.5 points in their SEC Tournament matchup against the No. 16 seed LSU Tigers (15-16, 3-15 SEC) on Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 12:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 151.5 points.
In its last time out, Kentucky lost 84-77 to Florida on Saturday. In Kentucky's loss, Otega Oweh led the way with a team-high 28 points (adding five rebounds and two assists). LSU heads into this matchup on the heels of a 94-91 loss to Texas A&M in overtime on Saturday. Max Mackinnon's team-leading 20 points paced LSU in the loss.
Kentucky vs. LSU Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 12:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
- Spread favorite: Kentucky -7.5
- Moneyline favorite: Kentucky -327
- Moneyline underdog: LSU +254
- Over/Under: 151.5 points
How to watch Kentucky vs. LSU
- TV Channel: SEC Network
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Kentucky vs. LSU
- This season, 18 of Kentucky's 31 games have gone over Wednesday's total of 151.5 points.
- This season, 18 games LSU has played finished with a combined score higher than 151.5 points.
- The Wildcats average 81.2 points per game against the Tigers' 81.4, totaling 11.1 points over the contest's over/under of 151.5.
- This game's total is 0.4 fewer points than the 151.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- On average, Kentucky has seen a 154.9-point over/under in its games this season, 3.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- LSU's games have an average over/under of 159.6 points this season, 8.1 more points than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: Kentucky vs. LSU
- In Kentucky's 31 games this year, it has 15 wins against the spread.
- This season, the Wildcats have an ATS record of 7-6 in their 13 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
- In LSU's 31 games this season, it has 18 wins against the spread.
- The Tigers have been underdogs by 7.5 points or more seven times this season and are 5-2 ATS in those matchups.
- Kentucky is 9-9 against the spread, and 14-4 overall, at home.
- This year, as a 7.5-point favorite or greater at home, Kentucky is 6-6 ATS.
- LSU is 8-2 against the spread, and 3-7 overall, on the road.
- LSU is unbeaten ATS (1-0) away from home as 7.5-point underdogs or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Kentucky vs. LSU
- Kentucky has entered the game as moneyline favorites 20 times this season and won 16, or 80%, of those games.
- The Wildcats are 11-1 this season when entering a game favored by -327 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from Kentucky, based on the moneyline, is 76.6%.
- LSU has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win one time (7.1%) in those games.
- The Tigers have won all of their seven games in which they were named as at least a +254 moneyline underdog.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies LSU has a 28.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
