Kansas vs. TCU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big 12 Tournament

The No. 3 seed Kansas Jayhawks (22-9, 12-6 Big 12) are 5.5-point favorites in the Big 12 Tournament against the No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (22-10, 11-7 Big 12) on Thursday at T-Mobile Center. The matchup begins at 9:30 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN2, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 141.5 points.

Kansas is coming off of a 104-85 victory against Kansas State in its last game on Saturday. Darryn Peterson put up 27 points, five rebounds and four assists for Kansas. TCU is coming off of a 95-88 win against Oklahoma State in its most recent game on Wednesday. David Punch scored a team-high 26 points for TCU in the win.

Kansas vs. TCU Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Kansas -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Kansas -220
• Moneyline underdog: TCU +181
• Over/Under: 141.5 points

How to watch Kansas vs. TCU

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Kansas vs. TCU

• Kansas and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under (141.5 points) 19 times this season.
• This season, 19 of TCU's games have ended with a combined score higher than 141.5 points.
• The over/under for the contest of 141.5 is 13.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Jayhawks (76.5 points per game) and the Horned Frogs (78.5 points per game).
• The 141.2 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 0.3 less than the 141.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Kansas has seen a 145.8-point over/under in its games this season, 4.3 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 8.8 points lower than the average over/under in TCU's games this season of 150.3.

Betting the Spread: Kansas vs. TCU

• Kansas has played 31 games, with 19 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Jayhawks have an against-the-spread record of 9-5 in their 14 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• In TCU's 32 games this season, it has 19 wins against the spread.
• The Horned Frogs have an ATS record of 7-2 in their nine games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this season.
• At home this year, Kansas is 10-5 against the spread and 13-2 overall.
• At home, as a 5.5-point favorite or more, Kansas is 6-4 ATS.
• This year away from home, TCU is 6-3 against the spread and 4-5 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Kansas vs. TCU

• Kansas has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and won 16 (80%) of those contests.
• This season, the Jayhawks have won 13 of their 15 games, or 86.7%, when favored by at least -220 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Kansas, based on the moneyline, is 68.8%.
• TCU has been victorious in six, or 54.5%, of the 11 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Horned Frogs have been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +181 or worse on the moneyline.
• TCU has an implied victory probability of 35.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.