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Royals vs. Guardians Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 4

04 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Kansas City Royals take a three-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Cleveland Guardians at 7:40 p.m. ET on Monday. Michael Wacha (2-2, 3.13 ERA) will start for the Royals, who are 15-19 this season and fourth in the AL Central. Tanner Bibee (0-4, 4.08 ERA) is expected to start for the Guardians, who are 18-17 and first in the AL Central.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Royals (-120) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Guardians (+101) at home. The game has an over/under of 9 runs.

Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Game time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Kauffman Stadium
  • Favorite: Royals (-120)
  • Underdog: Guardians (+101)
  • Over/under: 9

How to Watch Royals vs. Guardians

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Royals vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Royals have been the moneyline favorite 16 total times this season. They've gone 9-7 in those games.
  • Cleveland has been victorious in nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season Kansas City has won five of its 12 games, or 41.7%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Guardians have come away with a win eight times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied moneyline win probability of 54.5% in this contest.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Royals vs. Guardians: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Royals have played in 34 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 14 times (14-20-0).
  • So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 35 games with a total.
  • The Royals have collected a 15-19-0 record against the spread this season (covering 44.1% of the time).
  • The Guardians are 19-16-0 against the spread in their 35 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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