Islanders vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 17

The New York Islanders (38-24-5) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (29-27-12) on Tuesday, March 17, with both teams coming off a victory in their last game. The Maple Leafs are underdogs despite being at home, at +114, and the Islanders are -135.

New York earned a 3-2 victory at home its last time out on March 14 against the Calgary Flames. Simon Holmstrom's two points (two goals) led the Islanders.

In its last game on March 15, Toronto secured a 4-2 road victory against the Minnesota Wild. Benoit-Olivier Groulx led the Maple Leafs with two points (two goals) in that outing.

Here is our prediction for who will secure the victory in Tuesday's matchup.

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Islanders 3
• Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.95 goals)
  

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Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Islanders-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Islanders (-135)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+114)

Islanders Betting Insights

• The Islanders have gone 12-11 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• When playing with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter, New York has compiled a 9-8 record (winning 52.9% of its games).
• The Islanders' implied moneyline win probability is 57.4% in this contest.
• New York and its opponent have posted more than 5.5 goals in 34 of 67 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been made an underdog 34 times this season, and won 12, or 35.3%, of those games.
• Toronto has a record of 8-17 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +114 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set in this contest implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
• Toronto has played 45 games this season with over 5.5 goals.

Islanders Key Stats

• New York's 193 total goals (2.9 per game) rank 21st in the league.
• The Islanders have conceded 186 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking fourth in NHL action for the fewest goals against.
• Its +7 goal differential ranks 15th in the league.
• The 31 power-play goals the Islanders have recorded this season rank 29th in the NHL (on 195 power-play chances).
• New York has the league's 29th-ranked power-play conversion rate (15.9%).
• The Islanders have scored nine shorthanded goals this season.
• New York has the league's eighth-best penalty-kill percentage (81.77%).
• New York has the sixth-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 52.1%.
• The Islanders have a 10.3% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 26th in the league.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• With 214 goals (3.2 per game), Toronto has the NHL's 14th-ranked offense.
• The Maple Leafs concede 3.4 goals per game (234 in total), 31st in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -20, the team is 23rd in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have 32 power-play goals (on 162 chances), 25th in the NHL.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (19.75) puts the team 19th in the league.
• This season, the Maple Leafs have four shorthanded goals (21st in league).
• The 83.52% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is third in the league.
• Toronto is the league leader in faceoff win percentage (55.8%).
• The 11.6% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is 10th in the league.