Iowa State vs. Texas Tech Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big 12 Tournament

The No. 5 seed Iowa State Cyclones (26-6, 12-6 Big 12) are favored by 5.5 points in the Big 12 Tournament against the No. 4 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders (22-9, 12-6 Big 12) on Thursday at T-Mobile Center, starting at 12:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup's over/under is 143.5.

Iowa State won its most recent game 91-42 against Arizona State on Wednesday. Milan Momcilovic recorded 21 points, two rebounds and one assist for Iowa State. Texas Tech enters this matchup after an 82-76 loss to BYU on Saturday. Christian Anderson put up 23 points, four rebounds and nine assists for Texas Tech.

Iowa State vs. Texas Tech Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 12:30 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Iowa State -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Iowa State -256
• Moneyline underdog: Texas Tech +203
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch Iowa State vs. Texas Tech

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Iowa State vs. Texas Tech

• Iowa State and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Thursday's total of 143.5 points 18 times this season.
• In Texas Tech's 31 games this season, 21 finished with more combined points than Thursday's over/under of 143.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 163.4 points per game, 19.9 points more than the over/under of 143.5 for this contest.
• The 137.5 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 6.0 less than the 143.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Iowa State has had a 147.1-point over/under in its games this season, 3.6 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 10.3 points separates the average over/under in Texas Tech's games (153.8 points) and this contest's over/under (143.5).

Betting the Spread: Iowa State vs. Texas Tech

• In Iowa State's 32 games this year, it has 18 wins against the spread.
• The Cyclones have an against the spread record of 15-10 in their 25 games when favored by 5.5 points or more so far this season.
• Texas Tech has 16 wins against the spread in 31 games this year.
• This year, the Red Raiders have won against the spread in each of their four games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
• At home this season, Texas Tech is 14-2 overall and 9-7 against the spread.
• At home, Texas Tech is 7-6 ATS as a 5.5-point underdog or greater.
• This season on the road, Iowa State is 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
• Iowa State is 3-2 ATS as 5.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Iowa State vs. Texas Tech

• Iowa State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 28 times this season and won 23, or 82.1%, of those games.
• The Cyclones have a record of 19-3 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -256 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Iowa State, based on the moneyline, is 71.9%.
• Texas Tech has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in eight games this year and has walked away with the win four times (50%) in those games.
• The Red Raiders have a mark of 3-1 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +203 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Texas Tech has a 33% chance of pulling out a win.