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Indiana vs. Northwestern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big Ten Tournament

11 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The No. 10 seed Indiana Hoosiers (18-13, 9-11 Big Ten) are favored by 4.5 points in the Big Ten Tournament against the No. 15 seed Northwestern Wildcats (14-18, 5-15 Big Ten) on Wednesday at United Center, tipping off at 6:30 p.m. ET on Big Ten Network. The over/under for the matchup is set at 142.

Indiana fell in its most recent outing 91-78 against Ohio State on Saturday. In Indiana's loss, Lamar Wilkerson led the way with a team-high 18 points (adding three rebounds and three assists). Northwestern took care of business in its last matchup 76-66 against Penn State on Tuesday. Nick Martinelli put up 24 points, nine rebounds and three assists for Northwestern.

Indiana vs. Northwestern Odds and Game Time

  • When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois
  • Spread favorite: Indiana -4.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Indiana -220
  • Moneyline underdog: Northwestern +180
  • Over/Under: 142 points

How to watch Indiana vs. Northwestern

Betting the Over/Under: Indiana vs. Northwestern

  • This season, Indiana and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under of 142 points 17 times.
  • In Northwestern's 32 games this season, 19 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's total of 142.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 152 points per game, 10.0 points more than the total of 142 for this contest.
  • The 144.1 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 2.1 more than the 142-point over/under in this contest.
  • Indiana has seen a 150.8 average over/under in its games this season, 8.8 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Northwestern's games have an average over/under of 145.3 points this season, 3.3 more points than the over/under for this contest.
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Betting the Spread: Indiana vs. Northwestern

  • Indiana has played 31 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
  • The Hoosiers are 10-7 ATS when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • In Northwestern's 32 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
  • The Wildcats have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 12 times this season and are 7-5 ATS in those contests.
  • Indiana is 14-4 overall, and 9-9 against the spread, at home.
  • Indiana is 8-6 ATS as a 4.5-point favorite or more at home.
  • Northwestern is 3-8 overall, and 6-5 against the spread, away from home.
  • Away from home, Northwestern is winless ATS (0-2) as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Indiana vs. Northwestern

  • Indiana has entered the game as moneyline favorites 21 times this season and won 16, or 76.2%, of those games.
  • The Hoosiers are 14-2 this season when entering a game favored by -220 or more on the moneyline.
  • Indiana has a 68.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Northwestern has been a moneyline underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win two times (13.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Wildcats have been victorious two times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +180 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Northwestern has an implied victory probability of 35.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

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